Fundamentally speaking the policy scenario is in favour of standalone refinery stock slike Bongaingaon and Kochi refineries as refining margins are on rise while due to increasing crude oilprices and no corresponding increase in retail prices of petrol and diesel the marketing margins are taking a hit resulting in reduction of profit of companies like IOC,HPCL,BPCL etc.
The second trigger for Bon Ref is its impending merger with IOC like the recently announced merger decision betwen Kochi Refineres and BPCL.This also augurs well for BonRef in long run.
Thirdly it is a good div yeilding company.Only today Bon Ref has told BSE that they will meet on 8 Nov to decide the int div.Market expectation is of 4 Rs which results in decent yield at even the current market price.
Considering all these factors into Bon Ref appears to a safe long term bet.But the policy environment is very volatile and uncertain which may have impact on this stock each time a new policy announcement is made.