Dear Esse,
Market in momentum can extend beyond the holding point of one of market forces, what we called as bears. Its natural the way market runs/falls to punish one side.
For historical expansions, i had posted chart of Nifty from 200 SMA, and we can see there are two resistance zones for upside. We are at 1st one.
Now bulls market rallies historically tested 2nd one repeatedly and with small corrections moving up..up...up...
So its difficult to pin point where it will ends. I will tell you my nifty SAR position initiated at 7570 levels have moved upto 7600 levels. So i am long.
Till i get price action weakness on charts, its futile to guess. Price will show us believe me. We will not get top, but surely we can align ourselves with trend underway.
Market top in short term and get correction by few 100 points on daily. But to show weakness on higher timeframe weekly/monthly there is a way to go. So have patience and trade the trades. Dont give damn about who is buying who is selling. You never know whats going on.
I had tracked FII no's in past, and they rotate stocks at every inflexion point. And take market higher. You will see good buying numbers everyday. One they selling comes at top. You will thing FII;s are foolish they buy yesterday. But they are smart ones, they had buy on defensives. This is the way it works.
For today if it closes below 7623, i will put sell sign on daily.