Charts for the Day



Gold trading in a Triangle running for almost over a year now. The recent breakout and missing follow up had lead redrawing of trendline resistance. On lower side, the support line in blue coming at 26100 and lower support below that 25400 only.

Momentum on daily still not in that bad shape as long it is holding 26500 levels on daily.
So right now its in a crucial zone, as clearing 27400 will inhibit strength in it and below 26500, it will pave way for breaking/testing 26100.
 
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The sector which stood for almost as a leader now feeling the heat. And Maruti surely have shown initial weakness signs on chart, after a prolonged run.

Momentum signals not good, and in intermediate term, its demanding a cooling off in prices, if not a big correction then atleast sideways for month is highly possibility here.

The S/R levels shown are immediate levels possible on stock. Stock not showing good sign on Relative strength basis too. Indicating smart money has already got shifting mode.
 

anilnegi

Well-Known Member
Dear Anilji do you trade Break Outs:
For example a stock has a well identified resistance of say 400, and it crosses on heavy vols and then it builds base around 400 for a week, so will think of buying that around 400 levels ?
Pls post chart
 


We can clearly observe that 400 is a know support, in the Weekly chart.

Now have a look at the 1 year daily chart below.



It breaks 400, forms a base then gives us some lovely moves.

so can we buy during this base formation....as a Breakout trade....

Though its one chart and we can have many other charts where such BO fails.
 
Dear Anilji do you trade Break Outs:
For example a stock has a well identified resistance of say 400, and it crosses on heavy vols and then it builds base around 400 for a week, so will think of buying that around 400 levels ?
Dear sabharwalji,

Yes i trade breakouts. What you are referring is a pattern i called breakout and retest. Where volumes under pattern is normal one and during breakout it should be above average but not necessarily highest one.

Generally scrips go under period of consolidations. And the breakout from such are have prolonged effect, my observation is scrips move almost 50-6-% in a month or two in such situations.

Its a perfect pattern, but you should know your risk reward well. Breakout is nothing but the emotional surge from that pattern that outburst the resistance levels. Once emotions settles down, like a pullback towards breakout level or even it retest it. As we learn in classical TA, 'once resistance becomes support now'. So testing these levels give a nice oppurtunity.

Now these pullbacks take forms of flags, wedges or simple retracement.

As you posted in your example scrip. The stock undergone almost a 2-year consolidation period with stable volumes. And During breakout volume is above average, and after breakout it tested nicely the BO level and runaway with volumes.
 












Identified few patterns under development and posting here is meant for analysing and just seeing whether R:R falls under your comfort zone then only trade these ones.

Remember, any pattern have success or failures...so stick with your plan...dont average loosing scrip...it will be more pain if you do get trap in it...stick to SL...

I dont have any position in this scrips, i had posted for learning purpose only...
 

anilnegi

Well-Known Member
Anil ji

Deepak fertilizer-

Entry around 158, stop-145 target-180, is this correct entries?? but is it advisable to take entry without any proper price action.



LIC housing

Entry-312, stop-300/280, target-350, is this correct entry??



thanks

anil negi
 

VJAY

Well-Known Member
Dear Anilji,
Nice charts and hope good entries too.....Thanks for sharing
 
Anil ji

Deepak fertilizer-

Entry around 158, stop-145 target-180, is this correct entries?? but is it advisable to take entry without any proper price action.



LIC housing

Entry-312, stop-300/280, target-350, is this correct entry??



thanks

anil negi

Dear anilji,

The motto behind posting these charts was they are trading in a pattern mainly a triangle formation. So classical TA's trade with support at lower lines and resistance at upper trendlines and breakout from these ones.

Now, those who are wanna go long near to support lines, can place stoploss at just closing below it, or near to price action levels if any. These charts are in uptrend on weekly charts and safely trading above 200 SMA on daily. So they are valid ones to trade.

Deepak Fertilizer:

I see stoploss of aggressive one near to 151.5 levels on closing basis. And tgts are what you arrived on price action basis.

LIC Hsg:

SL coming around 300-302 on closing basis. Again the breadown on these patterns itself will alert you, you are on wrong trade, so either you wait for your SL to be taken out or cut your positions immediately. Thats what money management is for. Its better to take 2% stoploss than hit of 20%.