anil Trivedi,
I need yr analysis & opinion on Hindunilvr, chart posted.
Opinion from
any one who go thro this post is also welcome.
I am posting a 5min chart from 9.15hr today.
At 15.0hr, there was heavy vol.
Generally, whenever i c heavy vol in a Down trend, i presume more downside is most likely. ( Mirror in UT)
Besides, the vol where it occured was also today's Low at that time(
775 ) which was breached on
High vol.
Anticipating more downside, i went
short with Fib Tgt of 770-760.
But, the stock came down only by a ruppee till 15.30.
MACD was in favour , but Stochstic was already in O/Sold & ADX no Strength.
I remember that u had mentioned in one of yr post that Vol plays imp role in yr analysis.
Pl explain, how you would have traded this from Vol angle & where i went wrong in judging the trade for downside movement.
It is a weak share tech also.( On Daily EOD, it was perfect H & S, Right shoulder already breached for a Fib extn tgt of 756
On eod, it had closed below TL for a second day & thus a short < 774, being today's Low)
And how u interpret vol at any particular price & the Time frame we should also look into for confirmation.
For drawing TL, i had chosen PL at B as it was S/L for going Long according to me.
Stock closed & opened below this TL favouring short.