Dear Mangup,
Yes it is right hourly getting oversold (which people shouting from 6150 levels) still nifty corrected till 5970 levels. Daily too getting oversold on some of parameters, what prompting traders is after setting top in Diwali, nifty continuously making black candles. So expectation of rise is always there.
What market did today:
It opened gap down by a few points, struggle to cross 6040 zone decisively and fail to close above 6024 our key level.
But important is it tested 50 DMA level on daily around 5984 or so. So its a key level for intermediate participants who regularly come in at such key levels. so it may possible market may move up in short term, but from my limited knowledge how can i call it reversal to break 6350 high. The supporting evidence is still not there for me.
Evidence for me is, closing above key levels on daily and then weekly charts.
On charts, below todays low or 50 DMA only support zone i am seeing is 5900-10. I may be wrong but thats what i am reading into.
If you have focus our analysis till yesterday we too expecting a bounce, thats why i regularly mentioning strength above / Weak below levels so that any run up should not be missed.
On nifty i run two positions one is SAR based and other is trading wise. Trading wise my stoploss is 6040. While SAR level is 6196 as of now. Tomorrow opening figure will change my SAR level.
I didnt get a single trade past three days, apart from short positions i am holding into.
Last thing, some of my fellow traders expecting a Gapup tomorrow, lets see...
Hope i am clear...
Happy Trading....