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Czar

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The 80-Year Financial Cycle

by Robert Hahl

I didn't believe in long financial cycles until recently, but the theory of the 80-year cycle is interesting:

After a financial crash/big-war the survivors build and save for 20 years.

The next generation spends what has been saved, over the next 20 years.

The following generation borrows for 20 years.

The fourth generation can't borrow anymore, but can't build or save due to the burden of debts, which are never forgiven, so there is a big-war to settle all accounts.

Repeat ...

If you allow that the American Civil War was probably set in motion by the financial panic of 1857, and that the American Revolution was also a solution to financial issues, this cycle explains American history very well. The same can be said of Europe, starting with the French Revolution.
 

the tape

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Yes czar. i think this cycle makes complete sense. The mortgage shock in the US is in it's infancy stage right now. 1 out of every 10 americans is behind mortgage. The real estate prices in the US have not not declined since the great depression (1929). we don't know how big this bubble is :confused:

According to mark faber ( the only person who was bearish on asia when when it was making new peaks ), combined losses in commodities, stocks, bonds, real estate are greater than $60 trillion :eek: This is beyond rescue.
 

praveen taneja

Well-Known Member
Go through the message again.



buy a lottery ticket:)


It will be lot better than buy at the beginning of the series na.
Bro I know u know better then me but I know very well in last three days going in options mean eaither Zero or Hero
Double or quit is good on Tv with bournvita contest:p but with money:eek:
Hope I can make my point clear to u
Cool man cant take much risk as he is having burden of lots of GFs:D
 
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Czar

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Yes czar. i think this cycle makes complete sense. The mortgage shock in the US is in it's infancy stage right now. 1 out of every 10 americans is behind mortgage. The real estate prices in the US have not not declined since the great depression (1929). we don't know how big this bubble is :confused:

According to mark faber ( the only person who was bearish on asia when when it was making new peaks ), combined losses in commodities, stocks, bonds, real estate are greater than $60 trillion :eek: This is beyond rescue.
TRue, Day before I met a guy who is working in a hegde fund & he said that the Mess in Euro is much worst than USA, the ripple effect will be 10 times in trillions of what it is in US & the banks there are just hanging on a thread... thus the dollar march & gold too.. now they are trying to control the yen to help the carry trade a bit but europe is a bigger mess...
 

the tape

Well-Known Member
TRue, Day before I met a guy who is working in a hegde fund & he said that the Mess in Euro is much worst than USA, the ripple effect will be 10 times in trillions of what it is in US & the banks there are just hanging on a thread... thus the dollar march & gold too.. now they are trying to control the yen to help the carry trade a bit but europe is a bigger mess...
Well i guess every thing is going down. we've got to get ready for the dooms day :D
 
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