Hi all.I am starting this thread to illustrate in a very simple manner how a beginner trader might have identified the early trend reversal and traded with the trend to make profits. As many beginners feel that bearmarket is difficult to trade i will show the patters from january 2008.I will simply show the chart patterns which have shown reversal of trend.The beginner is expected to have a basic knowledge about double tops and bottoms and head and shoulders mainly to understand my thread.
Raj,
I really enjoyed the recap of 2008.
You have shown how one can still trade with simple chart patterns' knowledge (Chart Analysis) without delving much into Technical Analysis & tools/indicators etc.
Price movement (and thus pattern formation) are the best & most powerful a trader can have in his armory.
If even someone has missed one leg of a move, then instead of trying to jump in midway with stops far away, once can simply wait for pullbacks or a clearer chart pattern to form, and then initiate a position. Thus, proper charts' analysis, besides guiding in trend-determination, also helps in finding entry & stop levels.
I just wanted to add one thing: Textbooks have mentioned about the likely target price, in case of confirmation of a chart pattern breakout.
Like, in case of H&S pattern, the height of the "head" gives the potential target price.
I have seen that in most instances, the said chart patterns of nifty have achieved (and sometimes gone much beyond) the textbook's potential price targets.
Thus, with CA, besides knowing entry & stops, one can have the idea of the potential/likely targets too...
Keep up the impressive & informative work...