Going to post an interesting analogy, from layman's eyes.
Why India is going to be affected by corona virus ( Just an analogy).
Things that are going to be against India:
Low Testing Rates: India has lowest testing rates in the world. Maharashtra and Kerala followed by Rajasthan are the only places where we have seen significant rise in testing ( but still not enough to have a true picture)
Population: Given the population size and the poverty levels in India, lack of awareness and ( already seen religious factors on TV) it can spread at a unprecedented rate. Also we need to think about densely populated area's like Mumbai, Delhi, Chennai, Kolkata and all other major cities which are over crowded where people don't have place to stand and lets face the truth ( no proper place to defecate) and other health and hygiene issues like lack of water, soap etc to clean and maintain social distancing etc.
Poor Medical Infrastructure: Although medical staff is doing its best and India has one of the best advancement in pharma sector and many companies are coming up with new low cost ventilator's, vaccine promises ( in few months to 1 year). We lack the infrastructure to treat patients as per our population size.
Corruption and support from government: Although a relief package was announced and Govt of India has come up with a package but given the population size, the package might not be sufficient.
The worst part is the greed and corruption present. Few days back saw reports on TV that ration is not being given to poor and being sold somewhere else for a higher price. Even when we go out to buy basic commodities such as groceries, fruit and vegetables, prices have increased 10 folds.
We got a govt poster explaining that Potatoes are 30 rupees kg, Onions 30 per kg etc but unfortunately nothing was available at those rates. The only rate that it was available was fixed 100/- per kg to 250 per kg for basic fruit such as banana ( this might be different as per your area) I am only giving insight of my area.
Now lets compare these prices for a middle man or a poor man. For us we are able to buy it now and maybe we can afford to buy it for more longer period of time
Coming to the poor maybe some of them got govt support, some of them still waiting or don't have Jandhan accounts ( which most of them closed) he goes to market tries to buy stuff for his massive family of 10 children
( Now I am not blaming govt, they did a good job, just thinking what he will be able to buy).
Also as per report I studied online out of every one rupee only few paisa reaches the needy. What is the Guarantee that it will reach full this time. This part is really sad to think about.
GODMAN: I saw a post on this thread from someone about god man coming to help of the common man, sadly the god man is sitting on a pile of money, not coming to help the very people who gave them. Small announcements may have come but yet to see a significant move from all god man ( regardless of religion). I am thinking what would be the economy of entire god mans combined in India. Someone mentioned they are sitting on Pile of Gold, few trillion rupees? Bigger then size of India's economy? Who knows the truth?
Whatever it might be, It would be wonderful to see money coming out in the same way believer's gave them ( hindi mein bole to dil khol ke)
This is a layman's view ( If I missed anything please feel free to add )
Now let's consider Things, in Favor of India:
Low Death rate: Despite the lowest test number's we have a very low death rate so far, (Fingers crossed.)
Wait what does it tell us, something is wrong here and the whole story does not match.
I agree that we have lowest Test numbers, but then we should have a higher death rate? How can anyone stop the fatality rate? This prompted me to do some R&D and I took data from various sources, like WHO, etc and Let me post some data here. This is not my data and simply my analysis on the data I can see.
I am not claiming this to be true in anyway. Just thinking on what I can see. So I will post anyway after the disclaimer
This figure was taken from the Hindu
View attachment 41422
Source : https://www.thehindu.com/data/data-...-lockdown-notwithstanding/article31201640.ece
Hmm interesting, what does this tell us? So I derive few conclusions from this
After testing, India has the lowest number of positive cases in the world. ( we will discuss this in detail later)
Now coming to thinking of the negative points, even after over crowded cities and lack of all the facilities.
Despite Low testing, India Death rate is low ( so far) and I honestly hope it stays that way.
So a big question arises now, why? and did some study based on data I could find.
Will continue writing. in next post.
Why India is going to be affected by corona virus ( Just an analogy).
Things that are going to be against India:
Low Testing Rates: India has lowest testing rates in the world. Maharashtra and Kerala followed by Rajasthan are the only places where we have seen significant rise in testing ( but still not enough to have a true picture)
Population: Given the population size and the poverty levels in India, lack of awareness and ( already seen religious factors on TV) it can spread at a unprecedented rate. Also we need to think about densely populated area's like Mumbai, Delhi, Chennai, Kolkata and all other major cities which are over crowded where people don't have place to stand and lets face the truth ( no proper place to defecate) and other health and hygiene issues like lack of water, soap etc to clean and maintain social distancing etc.
Poor Medical Infrastructure: Although medical staff is doing its best and India has one of the best advancement in pharma sector and many companies are coming up with new low cost ventilator's, vaccine promises ( in few months to 1 year). We lack the infrastructure to treat patients as per our population size.
Corruption and support from government: Although a relief package was announced and Govt of India has come up with a package but given the population size, the package might not be sufficient.
The worst part is the greed and corruption present. Few days back saw reports on TV that ration is not being given to poor and being sold somewhere else for a higher price. Even when we go out to buy basic commodities such as groceries, fruit and vegetables, prices have increased 10 folds.
We got a govt poster explaining that Potatoes are 30 rupees kg, Onions 30 per kg etc but unfortunately nothing was available at those rates. The only rate that it was available was fixed 100/- per kg to 250 per kg for basic fruit such as banana ( this might be different as per your area) I am only giving insight of my area.
Now lets compare these prices for a middle man or a poor man. For us we are able to buy it now and maybe we can afford to buy it for more longer period of time
Coming to the poor maybe some of them got govt support, some of them still waiting or don't have Jandhan accounts ( which most of them closed) he goes to market tries to buy stuff for his massive family of 10 children
( Now I am not blaming govt, they did a good job, just thinking what he will be able to buy).Also as per report I studied online out of every one rupee only few paisa reaches the needy. What is the Guarantee that it will reach full this time. This part is really sad to think about.
GODMAN: I saw a post on this thread from someone about god man coming to help of the common man, sadly the god man is sitting on a pile of money, not coming to help the very people who gave them. Small announcements may have come but yet to see a significant move from all god man ( regardless of religion). I am thinking what would be the economy of entire god mans combined in India. Someone mentioned they are sitting on Pile of Gold, few trillion rupees? Bigger then size of India's economy? Who knows the truth?
Whatever it might be, It would be wonderful to see money coming out in the same way believer's gave them ( hindi mein bole to dil khol ke)
This is a layman's view ( If I missed anything please feel free to add )
Now let's consider Things, in Favor of India:
Low Death rate: Despite the lowest test number's we have a very low death rate so far, (Fingers crossed.)
Wait what does it tell us, something is wrong here and the whole story does not match.
I agree that we have lowest Test numbers, but then we should have a higher death rate? How can anyone stop the fatality rate? This prompted me to do some R&D and I took data from various sources, like WHO, etc and Let me post some data here. This is not my data and simply my analysis on the data I can see.
I am not claiming this to be true in anyway. Just thinking on what I can see. So I will post anyway after the disclaimer
This figure was taken from the Hindu
View attachment 41422
Source : https://www.thehindu.com/data/data-...-lockdown-notwithstanding/article31201640.ece
Hmm interesting, what does this tell us? So I derive few conclusions from this
After testing, India has the lowest number of positive cases in the world. ( we will discuss this in detail later)
Now coming to thinking of the negative points, even after over crowded cities and lack of all the facilities.
Despite Low testing, India Death rate is low ( so far) and I honestly hope it stays that way.
So a big question arises now, why? and did some study based on data I could find.
Will continue writing. in next post.
"We got a govt poster explaining that Potatoes are 30 rupees kg, Onions 30 per kg etc but unfortunately nothing was available at those rates. The only rate that it was available was fixed 100/- per kg to 250 per kg for basic fruit such as banana ( this might be different as per your area) I am only giving insight of my area."
bhai
which city and which area
I am still getting my grocery, vegetables and fruits (banana etc) at normal rates so far (last bought on 3rd Apr). Will go in the evening or tomorrow as vege/fruits stocks are finishing up.
Nor faced any problem in getting milk/curd etc (reasonable quantity at a time), from the shop in next bylane (can see supply of milk from my window, in the morning
). We are buying milk for 2 days at a time, so as to avoid daily on the road.I am in Delhi
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