GM Somatung : Thanks for the thread link. I agree that fib levels can indicate probable futures moves but let me tell you where I find fibbo problematic. Here is the daily chart of nifty with the fib levels.
1. Let's say I missed the first big move and want to enter. After Nifty came down to 5933 level and started rising back up, it pulled back from 38% (according to me indicating the down move is still strong. But can I short here ? The next 2 day's bar would defy the action.
2. Current level now probably will return from 62.8% (need to watch what happens today). According to Fibbo, retracement upto 61.8% can mean the trend is still intact. So, here the down move would still be intact as long as 61.8% retrace is maintained. Now, can one enter at this level and still make money on daily chart ? That remains a question.
Please do add your views in your free time.