ravi please take this as bible words. never short a defensive stock like ITC, sunpharma etc in a falling market. pls
I don't know from where you guys learn these terms anyways here are the ITC results for the last quater on 20th may 2011.
" ITC beat analysts expectations Friday as fourth quarter (January-March) net profit surged 24.6% year-on-year to Rs 1,281.48 crore, aided by strong growth in cigarette sales and reduced losses in other FMCG business.
Its quarterly earnings were also boosted by robust growth in hotels business revenue.
Net sales of the company, which sells cigarettes and other FMCG products and also runs hotels, were up 15.5% to Rs 5,836.26 crore for the three-month period.
Analysts on average had expected ITCs fourth quarter net profit at Rs 1,229 crore on sales of Rs 5,626 crore, according to a CNBC-TV18 poll."
If you were tuned in or trade intraday ITC started selling off with large volume with this goodnews at 3 pm on 20th may the selling started at from 190 down to 184 the intrday high was 191 anhour before news.... now you have to learn some real trading by the pros , you have to remember this 190-191 level and when it approaches this level the next few days you have to watch what patterns are forming at this level.
The nextday on monday 23rd may11 it approached 190.3 and held there for a long time it couldnt go above 190.3 which means somebody was selling it... if it cannot go above 191 then you can go short at 190.3 with a target of previos days low of 184 and a stop of say 191.3... 1:6 risk reward , but it mad a low of 188.3 and was holding at 188.3 for a long time so you cover half your positions there because of risk it might come up and it did come back to 190 but then again never went back above 191 the next day on 24th you again get a chance to short it because for 15 minutes it was struggling to go above 190.5 so short again there , you have the same target of 184 and stop of 190.3 for a 1:6 risk reward.
It made a low of 186.3 and closed out at 186.7 giving you about 3.5 points of profit for.8 point of risk .
on 25th may at around 3 pm it again came to 189.3 and started struggling since it is not at 190.3 my original resistance i might trade half of my original size cause risk reward is not greater than 5x and it being 3pm ... but still it went down and closed at 188.6
on 26th may again it struggled at 189.60 but my level is 190 and above but it failed many times at 189.60about 4 times so it was time to short again for target of 184 and stop of 190.1 for half my position and 191.1 for the other half (hope you go this its to increse arror margin).
low made was 188 and closed at 189.5 now its consolidating in close range near 188 so i should be careful of shorting it so i changed my bias to go long when it crosses 191 and stays at 191.
But today it crashed again from 189.60 exact to 186.6 but i dindnt want to trade it cause i thought it would struggle at 188 and would not give me a good risk reward .
So all these days from 21st may to 31st may u shorted the 189-190 level with a stop above 191 you would have made money all days "Mr Bible". It has not a single day traded above 191.
This is not a story after the trade is over tommorow you yourself watch the 189-190 level in itc and watch who is selling when voulme pics up ... of course if it goes above 191 and stays there i will look to go long it is not ill be short. And please dont trade anything without a game plan.
I will not be responisble for any losses as i am not professing a long or a short i could be in and out position lasting seconds to several hours.
And ofcourse sorry for strong language used its only an expression to open peoples eyes.