Currency can be pretty profitable if you trade 10-20 lots at a time or so..
Can currency futures help small traders?
Yes. The minimum size of the USDINR futures contract is USD 1,000. Similarly EURINR future contract is EURO 1000, GBPINR future contract is GBP 1000 and JPYINR future contract is YEN 1,00,000. These are well within the reach of most small traders. All transactions on the Exchange are anonymous and are executed on a price time priority ensuring that the best price is available to all categories of market participants irrespective of their size. As the profits or losses in the futures market are also paid / collected on a daily basis, the scope of accumulation of losses for participants gets limited.
How are currency prices determined?
Currency prices are affected by a variety of economic and political conditions, but probably the most important are interest rates, international trade, inflation, and political stability. Sometimes governments actually participate in the foreign exchange market to influence the value of their currencies. They do this either by flooding the market with their domestic currency in an attempt to lower the price or, conversely, buying in order to raise the price. This is known as central bank intervention. Any of these factors, as well as large market orders, can cause high volatility in currency prices. However, the size and volume of the FOREX market make it impossible for any one entity to drive the market for any length of time.
How do exchange-traded currency futures enable hedging against currency risk?
On a currency exchange platform, you can buy or sell currency futures. If you are an importer, you can buy futures to "lock in" a price for your purchase of actual foreign currency at a future 10 date. You thus avoid exchange rate risk that you would otherwise have faced. On the other hand, if you are an exporter, you sell currency futures on the exchange platform and "lock in" a sale price at a future date. However, it may be noted that the contract will be marked to market at the daily settlement price and profit or loss will be paid / collected on a daily basis
If I am an individual with no exposure to foreign exchange risks, does a currency futures exchange mean anything to me?
Yes, it does, if you want to invest purely as an investor. You can benefit from exchange rate fluctuations just as you can benefit by investing in equities in the stockmarket. However, as in the stockmarkets, you also stand to lose money if the price movements are not in keeping with what you had anticipated. Participating in a currency futures exchange is risky, just as the stockmarket is. You should therefore be knowledgeable about the currency market if you want to participate as an investor.
In which currency are the currency futures contracts settled?
They are settled in cash in Indian Rupees.
What are benefits of spread contract?
Spread contract give users the benefit to enter two calendar contracts simultaneously without the risk of partial (one leg) execution and at a lower impact cost.
What are Currency Futures Contracts?
Currency Futures contracts are legally binding agreement to buy or sell a financial instrument sometime in future at an agreed price. Currency Future contracts are standardized in terms of lots and delivery time. The only variable is the price, which is discovered by the market. Currency Futures contracts have different expiry validity and will expire after the completion of the specified tenure.
What are the benefits of trading in Currency Derivatives
Currency Derivatives are very efficient risk management instruments and you can derive the below benefits:
i. Hedging: You can protect your foreign exchange exposure in business and hedge potential losses by taking appropriate positions in the same. For e.g. If you are an importer, and have USD payments to make at a future date, you can hedge your foreign exchange exposure by buying USDINR and fixing your pay out rate today. You would hedge if you were of the view that USDINR was going to depreciate. Similarly it would give hedging opportunities to Exporters to hedge thier future receivables, Borrowers to hedge foreign currency (FCY) loans for interest and principal payments, Resident Indians, who can hedge their offshore investments.
ii. Speculation: You can speculate on the short term movement of the markets by using Currency Futures. For e.g. If you expect oil prices to rise and impact India's import bill, you would buy USDINR in expectation that the INR would depreciate. Alternatively if you believed that strong exports from the IT sector, combined with strong FII flows will translate to INR appreciation you would sell USDINR.
iii. Arbitrage: You can make profits by taking advantage of the exchange rates of the currency in different markets and different exchanges.
iv. Leverage: You can trade in the currency derivatives by just paying a % value called the margin amount instead of the full traded value.
What are the factors that affect the exchange rate of a currency?
"A country's currency exchange rate is typically affected by the supply and demand for the country's currency in the international foreign exchange market. The demand and supply dynamics is principally influenced by factors like interest rates, inflation, trade balance and economic & political scenarios in the country. The level of confidence in the economy of a particular country also influences the currency of that country."
What are the major fundamental factors that affect currency movements?
•Trade Balance - This refers to imports and exports, and is probably the most important determinant of a currency's value. When imports are greater than exports, you have a trade deficit. When exports are greater than imports, you have a surplus. A shift in the trade balance between two countries tends to weaken the currency of the country with greater deficit
•Wealth - Wealth is a country's reserves, in the form of gold, cash, natural resources, and so on. Basically any factor that affects a country's ability to repay loans, finance imports, and affect investments impacts the market's perception of its currency and the currency's value.
•Internal budget deficit or surplus - A country running a current account deficit has, on balance, a weaker currency than one that runs a budget surplus. This is tricky, however, in that the direction of the surplus or deficit affects perceptions and currency valuations too.
•Interest Rates - Funds move around the world electronically in response to changes in short-term interest rates. If three-month interest rates in Germany are running 1% less than three-month rates in the United States, then all other things being equal, "hot money" flows out of Euro into the Dollar.
•Inflation - Inflation in each country, and inflationary expectations, affect currency values. What good is a 10% short-term return in some country if inflation is running 15%?
•Political factors - Taxes, stability, whatever affects the international trade of a country, or the perception of "soundness" of the currency affect its valuation.
What are the risks involved in currency futures market?
Risks in currency futures pertain to movements in the currency exchange rate. There is no rule of thumb to determine whether a currency rate will rise or fall or remain unchanged. A judgement on this will depend on the knowledge and understanding of the variables that affect currency rates