Are there any lessons in your entry? Was your short entry too early? What logic did you apply for that entry?
Thank you for a meaningful ques :thumb:
I will try to explain the logic, please fell free to ask me any further questions - it may help me getting another perspective.
What logic did you apply for that entry?
Please do refer my earlier posts for all the charts that i posted, whenever i felt contrary to nifty moves.
I initiate my trade based on what my oscillators show me, at likely resistance / support levels. Since my trades are usually contrary to nifty moves, i have tweaked my trade accordingly -
1. I trade only in options. My first trade is always shorting OTM options, so it takes care if nifty goes against my trade, with lesser MTM loss. This is usually the next expiry option, which gives me higher premium. I use nearly 50 to 60% of allocated capital for this.
2. If nifty goes against my trade i then start accumulated next expiry ATM options, and then i keep last 20% of my allocated capital to accumulate deep ITM option of current expiry (with minimum 10 days to expiry).
Without fail, ever hour i recheck my oscillators if the position i am in, is correct.
Was your short entry too early?
This is something we as traders can never know at the time of taking the trade. All historical analyses can go for a toss. The last 2 nifty dives were quick to bounce, this one was not. So effectively,
we cant time the market, and
we can never guess the lows and highs.
Are there any lessons in your entry?
Given what happened to this trade, I wouldnt say that i should not have taken this trade, but yes definitely I would tweak the % capital I allocate to trading spreads, as i explained above. This tweaking will ensure that my M2M is lesser. The holding time is something outside my control, if nifty is stuck in range, or not giving opposite signals.
It goes without doubt, that I will keep restructuring my trading system, as and when required