I had read somewhere that morning moves are caused by amatuers and afternoon moves are caused by professional traders.While this could be a matter of debate but I find some truth in it.
Market normally gives two good moves in a day,one in the morning and one in the afternoon.Both the moves are profitable but I like the afternoon move more because of the following :
1) Morning moves are caused by reaction to overnight news,Dow,Nasdaq,European markets closing,international financial and political news,economic numbers which came after the market closing the earlier day.These are many times knee jerk reactions by the market participants.Against this the afternoon moves are caused after considering advance/decline,3-4 hours of market action,European markets opening etc and the real trend is likely to manifest in the afternoon moves.
2) Afternoon moves are much more durable with less false starts and whipsaws.
3) Reward to Risk ratio is better in afternoon moves.
4) Afternoon moves more likely to be of durable trends which could well go into the next day.So we can consider keeping part of the position for overnight hold.
5)Afternoon moves are fast dut to less time remaining for covering losing positions of traders on the wrong side of the move.
6)FIIs and professional traders are more likely to be participants in the afternoon move.
I trade both the moves but my preference is for afternoon move.
Smart_trade
ST sir quoting one of your old posts about system selection on a particular day based on ADX , is it relevant even in today's market conditions (in Nifty)
"The level of ADX can help us to decide which system to use at a given point of time.
Now let me explain you how to accomplish this goal.
PLOT ADX(14) ON CHART FOR YOUR CURRENCY PAIR.
IF...
1)ADX is below 20 - USE OSCILLATOR BASED SYSTEM(RSI,STOCHASTIC ETC.)
2)ADX is above 30 - USE TREND FOLLOWING SYSTEM(MOVING AVERAGE,MACD ETC.)
3)ADX is at 45 or above it - BOOK PROFITS.(Wait for new entry)
4)ADX IS RISING FROM LEVEL BELOW 18 AND THEN GOING ABOVE 23 - USE TREND FOLLOWING SYSTEM.
5)ADX DECLINING FROM LEVEL ABOVE 30 AND THEN GOING BELOW 27 - USE OSCILLATOR BASED SYSTEM.
The above mentioned method will help you select right system at right time
This system selection technique works very well according to my experience.
I want to tell you again that this technique only helps to select right system at right time and it is not a holy grail.
I hope everyone will like this system selection technique and use it to improve their tradingI use this for trading in stocks and hope it will work well in the forex market.
A GOOD SYSTEM NEVER FAILS IT FAILS ONLY BECAUSE IT IS USED AT A WRONG TIME".