General Trading Chat

ST da,
Will 8000 be an easy barrier to breach? Will it take a few attempts tomorrow to go past it?

Sent from my A0001 using Tapatalk
Looking at the momentum ,8000 does not appear to be difficult....many traders have 8050 as May expiry target.

8200 looks possible in June....but we trade each day as it comes,up or down.

ST
 
Unfortunately there is no way to find out which is more reliable before taking them in real time.The first one was a move from 2SD to -2SD and that was a good move. 2nd and 3rd was from 2 SD to VWAP and it was resisted at VWAP. This is what the move is supposed to do ...every move will not breakdown . The market resisted at VWAP twice and then on 4th circle the move came from 2SD and it went through VWAP and went to -1SD and came up to 1SD again as it was sideways with negative bias. It then broke down....but it could have broken down on 3rd circle as well...so no reliable way to know that in advance.

So the action could be book profits at each levels and take re-entry at higher levels or take a short position and hold with a stoploss above 2SD. We have to keep on trying our entries till we get a breakdown.

I was observing these levels yesterday on some other indicator also but there also no clear indication as to which will be more reliable. That is reality in the market.

Smart_trade
st da i got confused with the levels as they dont match with his screenshot. I guess the levels are for previous day - May 20. Here is screenshot for others if they got confused. But anyway, main meaning of response stays same.

 
Trade 1: the first trade i took was at breakdown of morning range (marked by crosshair) shorted below 7768. It failed, and as soon it closed back within range, i covered at 7776 before it hit the SL.
Question 1: was it a legitimate trade, as it was a breakdown (failed finally) of morning range but with in yesterday's range?
Sir your experience enabled you to enter much higher, the place where I entered, my mentality was overshadowed by a failed breakdown and a preoccupation to get out before SL hits, it finally just missed the pivot high SL by .95 points, by that time I was already out.
Many a times I have problem differentiating an impending failure and a retracement after breakout, what should I do for that?
Since i didnt find direct answer, this is my attempt. I also face same issue.

Early entry using vwap bands can allow holding through chop and moving Stop when new lows are made, perhaps with partial profits to make it easier on mind.
But BO trading is different. Trailing position aggressively or conservatively around entry is your choice and both have tradeoffs. Perhaps with bar-by-bar you can check which one suits you better.

For your entry, the BO failed to move immediately, there is no momentum. In this case pivot high held and trade moved well later, but it can also hit PH in next trade and you will get bigger loss ( and then move well making it worse). To manage aggressively, in this trade you can say BO is not working, exit at BO bar or exit if bar closes above BO point and its high is taken or exit above VAL which is closeby. So you take small loss and look for rentry. if premise remains valid. With smaller losses you can take multiple entry attempts while taking same risk as 1 big Stop.

After exit, price kept drifting down. It consolidated just above same BO point, after breaking out of VAL. Here you can look for rentry. Else if missed, nevermind and look for another trade. Also, you can also look for entries using VWAP bands on such days if BO is not working.

So failure vs retracement for BO trades - decide whether you prefer aggressive or conservative entry management, understanding the tradeoffs.
I am also going through same and get frustrated with missed trades but it is what it is.
 
Last edited:

vivektrader

In persuit of financial independence.
Since i didnt find direct answer, this is my attempt. I also face same issue.

Early entry using vwap bands can allow holding through chop and moving Stop when new lows are made, perhaps with partial profits to make it easier on mind.
But BO trading is different. Trailing position aggressively or conservatively around entry is your choice and both have tradeoffs. Perhaps with bar-by-bar you can check which one suits you better.

For your entry, the BO failed to move immediately, there is no momentum. In this case pivot high held and trade moved well later, but it can also hit PH in next trade and you will get bigger loss ( and then move well making it worse). To manage aggressively, in this trade you can say BO is not working, exit at BO bar or exit if bar closes above BO point and its high is taken or exit above VAL which is closeby. So you take small loss and look for rentry. if premise remains valid. With smaller losses you can take multiple entry attempts while taking same risk as 1 big Stop.

After exit, price kept drifting down. It consolidated just above same BO point, after breaking out of VAL. Here you can look for rentry. Else if missed, nevermind and look for another trade. Also, you can also look for entries using VWAP bands on such days if BO is not working.

So failure vs retracement for BO trades - decide whether you prefer aggressive or conservative entry management, understanding the tradeoffs.
I am also going through same and get frustrated with missed trades but it is what it is.
Do you also get confused between impending failures and retracement?
You also must be entering on breakout/down bar. A retracement may mature into failure within a candle or two becoming 'entrapment'. Sometimes the preoccupation to save on stop loss takes toll on the mind especially in morning trades where failures is more a rule than exception.
Keeping high of breakdown bar as stop loss,saves capital on 90% of failed trades, other 10%may not fail finally and religiously honour pivot high stop.
But for good momentum breakdowns, I think breakdown bar stop is sufficient.
 
Do you also get confused between impending failures and retracement?
You also must be entering on breakout/down bar. A retracement may mature into failure within a candle or two becoming 'entrapment'. Sometimes the preoccupation to save on stop loss takes toll on the mind especially in morning trades where failures is more a rule than exception.
Keeping high of breakdown bar as stop loss,saves capital on 90% of failed trades, other 10%may not fail finally and religiously honour pivot high stop.
But for good momentum breakdowns, I think breakdown bar stop is sufficient.
Note - i am still learning trader - have not had a profitable month yet. Breakeven or loss.

I only use aggressive entry management for Entry. So wont sit through long retracement. I don't like big losses and multiple big losses in a row can be crippling. But Once it moves, you have to give space. Premise before every trade is to take small loss and you keep the ones that move well.

So ST-style BO entry is to keep some reasonable initial stop ( like BO bar) but exit if price closes beyond BO point and H/L of that bar is broken - ie exit if BO area is not holding. This is reasonable method when expecting momentum. You can also use other entry methods like P1/2 to get into trends.

Also other people are trading successfully with Stops at Pivot H/L and trail so maybe its also mindset thing.
 

wisp

Well-Known Member
Hello Friends,
I'm taking off for few days.My father is about to undergo a major operation.We'll be shifting to Mumbai for a month.
---

VWAP gives 65% accurate trades
AMA gives 55% Signals
And ADN gives 90% accuracy if mixed with VWAP and AMA Concept.Please go through Pratap Sir's thread.

Have Fun Trading.I will miss you all. :)
-Dinesh Batra
What is ADN?
 
st da i got confused with the levels as they dont match with his screenshot. I guess the levels are for previous day - May 20. Here is screenshot for others if they got confused. But anyway, main meaning of response stays same.

I was commenting on the chart posted by someone.

ST
 

Similar threads