General Trading Chat

vivektrader

In persuit of financial independence.

vijkris

Learner and Follower
Recieved this message from Z. :lol:

Owing to the expected volatility on Budget day, intraday leverage across product types (MIS,BO,CO) will be lower than usual for EQ F&O, and Currency segments.
 
Trading range anticipated for today (may extend tomorrow also)

NF - 8555 - 8777
BNF - 19444 - 19999
 

bpr

Well-Known Member
Ok yesterday H1B reform bill was placed to increase minimum wage to $60K to $130K
All IT stocks down 3 to 5percent.
if the bill goes through, which it will smoothly as republicans have majority in both the house there could be major downturn or swing short in IT.

But there is one counter point that the IT companies will simply pass the cost to Client (American Cos) Question is will the American co accept such increase without any hitch?

or other option is 2/3rd of the H1B workforce will be sent back.

or may be bit of both.

Either way negative for IT sector for next 1 year or so

EDIT: but in the long run the IT companies will slowly pass the entire cost along with their margin to American cos and enabling them to make much more money than what they make currently.

Will be interesting to watch how this goes down.
 
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Definitely worth to execute (long straddle) but wait for prices to settle after opening and check IV. It was already around 40% today.
Yeah, IV is already on the higher side and i dont have much real knowledge about how it changes during events.
Can IV decrease even if we have big move(during the move itself and not after it settles) ?

Considering the example of last years budget how IV would have changed with the moves ?

http://imgur.com/jXS8BY8
 
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