Notice that the trend of the 5min break continues.......if we had held till the last 5min,it would have been one small profit trade.
Then why didn't we just do that.......hold instead of allowing ourselves to get stopped out?
Here lies the Problem.........As stated,56% of the time,just holding it is win trades.30% if just held is sideways trades.....That 14% on the other hand becomes a big loss if just held till the end.Therefore the reversals at each previous bar.
Doing what we do now,we have most of the 56% and the 14% on our side........The rest will be mild loss days.Calculating the losses taken by the reversal at each bar and comparing it to just holding all trades till the end puts us in a situation of minimal losses and huge wins,with a great amount of wins than losses.Holding the trades till the end gives us an even greater amount of wins as compared to losses,but the amount of losses per trade when it happens,goes through the roof.
Doing this sometimes and that sometimes brings our discretion into the trade.And then we are back to analysing and bringing our smartness into the trade which we don't want to.
Saint