Going with the Intraday Mini-Flow!!

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lvgandhi

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LVGandhi & my dear friend Ratan Jain,

you were plain lucky today, as the actual SAR was 2897-7

in 15min chart, we had 4 PLs one after the other:
11:15 = 2896
11:45 = 2894
12:15 = 2897
12:45 = 2908

u spotted all those pivot lows in 15min... fine

let's see our 30min chart
(BTW, 30min is the TF we are trading)


we have a PL 2894 (12:00 bar)
so, now that 11:15 PL 2896 becomes irrelevant...
we have our SAR at 2894 (in both 15 & 30)...

now, let's see what happened after 12:00 till 1:00
we get our PLs in 15min chart 2897 (12:15) & 2908 (12:45)

look at the formation of 12:30, 1:00, 1:30 bars.... in 30min charts

a WRB followed by an inside bar & then a nothing bar...
which of these bars would threaten that WRB.... no one....
that WRB has to bend (low has to break) to cause a REVERSAL OF THE FLOW....

that WRB's (12:30 in 30min) low 2897 is the KEY SAR level to break to cause a reversal in flow
later in 60min chart too, the WRB (13:00)'s low = 2897 also supports our SAR...

so, the actual SAR was 2897-7
and not 2908-7

10 points was plain lucky...
take care next time, friends
Thanks Sunil for the nice explanation and above all your concern.
However When there is doubt in 30 min TF regarding reversal, I see 15 min TF. 12:45 bar low is a clear Pivot Low as it started to come dn from 12:00, made a low of 2907 at 12:45 bar and went up by 3 bars upto 13:30 bars. Hence 12:45 bar is very much valid pivot. If we follow only 60 min then 2894 is PL. I feel Pivots are better reversal points.
 

Sunil

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Thanks Sunil for the nice explanation and above all your concern.
However When there is doubt in 30 min TF regarding reversal, I see 15 min TF. 12:45 bar low is a clear Pivot Low as it started to come dn from 12:00, made a low of 2907 at 12:45 bar and went up by 3 bars upto 13:30 bars. Hence 12:45 bar is very much valid pivot. If we follow only 60 min then 2894 is PL. I feel Pivots are better reversal points.
lvg,

I totally agree with you that 12:45 bar was a pivot low on 15 min TF ,no two opinions on that ,but the point is whether we should consider this PL on 15 as a reversal point. I also agree with you that pivots have preference over other things but with a qualifier that pivot on lower TF should have atleast confirmation from 30 min or 60 min. Any pivot on 15 is not a SAR point Here most of us are making a mistake.

I totally agree with Sunil and he has given his reasoning in a bar by bar analysis of why PL on 15 should not be considered as a SAR point.See 30 min bar after this PL and what do we see ? 1:00 bar a hammer with long tail and 1:30 bar a white candle so no bearish confirmation from 30. What do we have on 60 ? A white candle at 1:00 so no confirmation here also. Hence 12:45 bar though a PL on 15, not a valid reversal point.

When I was trading these bars,I would have reversed on the following scenario :

A WRB on 30 was formed at 12:30 bar with a very high volume so my SAR was below low of this bar less 7 =2898-7=2891. If we had a negating bar which would have closed lower than 50% of this WRB candle and the next bar takes out a low of this resting bar,we would have reversed. But 1:00 and 1:30 bars on 30 min did not obliedge,so our SAR remained at WRB bar low less space or at 2891 which was subsequently cracked and we went short.

Hope I am able to communicate my thinking in the above post.

Friends Sunil is communicating a very important point.Please study that carefully.

Best Wishes,

Smart_trade
 
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hello smart trade,
Please post (15&30min) yesterday NFchart(11/11/2008) with high and low of the each bar.
thanks
Hello HEM,


Posting 15 min and 30 min charts of NF yesterday and today.





When I try to write high/low values of the bar in the chart,it becomes too crowded . If you want I will post a table in a separate post giving H,L of all bars.

Tomorrow will do ? Too tired today. Or may be someone else will help.

Best Wishes,

Smart_trade
 
Last edited:
Hello HEM,


Posting 15 min and 30 min charts of NF yesterday and today.





When I try to write high/low values of the bar in the chart,it becomes too crowded . If you want I will post a table in a separate post giving H,L of all bars.

Tomorrow will do ? Too tired today. Or may be someone else will help.

Best Wishes,

Smart_trade


smart trade,
thank you very much.

Regards
Hemant
 
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