Hi Ganesh,
If Gold prices are directly related to Crude and Dollar value.
1. Basically, Gold is an inflation Hedge. If inflation of any country ( Mostly Look at developed economies) increases, investors buys gold to balance their port folio. So, Gold will move up.
Ex: Now every one says US economy is in Stagflation. You can see what Gold is trading at?
2. Crude prices directly affects the oil import bill of any country. Increase in Imports Bill will increase the Trade Defict ( Export - Imports) of countries (Mainly watch out US Trade Deficit Data). Higher Trade deficit would hit the value of currency of the country. This will affect the money circulation in the economy there by leading inflation ( Here applies the logic of " Too much money chasing too few goods). So, If Crude price rises, Gold will also move Up.
3. As you know most of the countries has got Foriegn Reserves. And these reserves are in form of Dollars. For example, India boasts about 140 Billion Dollars of reserves. If the dollar looses value, the entire basket looses value. So, countries will look for safe heaven i.e.GOLD. If Dollar looses value, Gold will mpove Up.
Happy Trading
Nanabala
9986039019
bangalore