how much return you expect from commodity market

[cotton]

some thoughts on crude oil: i have noticed that small traders are lossing money in crude oil & blaming that the loss is due to the manuplation of smart money,reason why they call it manuplation ? they say in the window buyer is three time more then the seller still price falling, so due to this manuplation they are loosing money, this is not at all manuplation, before i give reply basically what is this happening & where the real problem is , which they are not understanding& as a cosiquence, loosing money,IF ANY BODY WOULD LIKE TO SHARE HIS THOUGHTS WITH ME,i will be obliged to have various views regarding this problem,before i clarify thanks

Ashwani...For Crude April...I feel the problem is with the reversal which was triggered on 7 MArch and the same confirmed on 9th March..and till 16th march the same was in reversal zone...and now the same is back in bull area...but its yet to be confirmed because the 19th opening price was 4 rs less than 18th closing price..so we have a gap...so this still need to be confirmed...if the same is bull run...but the closing was 33 rs upper than 18th close...so need 1 more day EOD to confirm...

Thanks

 

[ashwani chadha]

Ashwani...For Crude April...I feel the problem is with the reversal which was triggered on 7 MArch and the same confirmed on 9th March..and till 16th march the same was in reversal zone...and now the same is back in bull area...but its yet to be confirmed because the 19th opening price was 4 rs less than 18th closing price..so we have a gap...so this still need to be confirmed...if the same is bull run...but the closing was 33 rs upper than 18th close...so need 1 more day EOD to confirm...

Thanks

reversal starting 7th march perfect date!!!!short trend confirmed 8th because closing below its support , long trend confirmed 17th,closing above support

 

[ashwani chadha]

reversal starting 7th march perfect date!!!!short trend confirmed 8th because closing below its support , long trend confirmed 17th,closing above support

to use candle stick perfectly with out perfect knowledge of support/resistance is not possible, but at present your candle stick judgement are perfect!!!!!!!

 

[k.raaja]

thanks aswanichadha for taking further move on fmv concept

 

[ashwani chadha]

some thoughts on crude oil: i have noticed that small traders are lossing money in crude oil & blaming that the loss is due to the manuplation of smart money,reason why they call it manuplation ? they say in the window buyer is three time more then the seller still price falling, so due to this manuplation they are loosing money, this is not at all manuplation, before i give reply basically what is this happening & where the real problem is , which they are not understanding& as a cosiquence, loosing money,IF ANY BODY WOULD LIKE TO SHARE HIS THOUGHTS WITH ME,i will be obliged to have various views regarding this problem,before i clarify thanks

i will wait for to day so that if some body is interested to share his thoughts on crude, he can share,but before opening of market tommorow i will explain ,so that more people are not caught :HAPPY HOLI TO ALL VIEWERS,HEALTHY & WEALTHY FURTHUR LIFE

 

[k.raaja]

FUNDAMENTALS TO CONSIDER IN CRUDE ::

Crude prices pared earlier advance after Libya announced ceasefire to start talks with opposition, to comply with the United Nations decision yesterday, providing hopes the unrest in Libya will come to an end.

Oil for May delivery is currently trading at $102.30 a barrel after recording a high of $104.53 and a low of $101.28.

Crude prices benefited from the escalation in Libya and other countries in the region on fears of oil disruption, but if Qaddafi and opposition reached an agreement, prices are expected to recede.

However, the situation is still concerning in Bahrain as the clashes between the government and protesters are intensifying, which actually increases worries that the protests may spread to Saudi Arabia, which produces one fifth of the world's crude production.

The G7 intervention for the first the time in more than a decade in foreign exchange market today through selling yen restored some confidence in markets and helped shares to advance on hopes Japan will avoid falling into recession.

The dollar index, which tracks the dollar movements versus a basket of major currencies, fell to a low of 75.75 from the day's opening level of 75.97.

 

[k.raaja]

According technicals... Possible formation of h&s pattern... And i prefer to short crude around 4640 /80 lvls with sl around 4722 for tgt 4580/4521/4511 --

these are purely based on my technicals... For short term....

And for longterm... Untill crude close below $98 crude will hit $113.50 lvls..

And in coming days.. Crude will take support near $93 lvls and resistance at $108 lvls..

 

[ashwani chadha]

some thoughts on crude oil: i have noticed that small traders are lossing money in crude oil & blaming that the loss is due to the manuplation of smart money,reason why they call it manuplation ? they say in the window buyer is three time more then the seller still price falling, so due to this manuplation they are loosing money, this is not at all manuplation, before i give reply basically what is this happening & where the real problem is , which they are not understanding& as a cosiquence, loosing money,IF ANY BODY WOULD LIKE TO SHARE HIS THOUGHTS WITH ME,i will be obliged to have various views regarding this problem,before i clarify thanks

except mr cotton & mr. k.raaja,no body has given their views regarding crude oil,it looks either people dont bother weather they loose or win,winning and loosing both are equal for them:just a time pass Or they treat trading as membership of club even if they loose but ultimately they enjoy in trading then why bother to looser every participant is so expert that he never looses so why bother to share your view,when you your self is so expert:still waiting for few more views thanks in advance

 

[ashwani chadha]

advance warning to viewersUSA.UK.FRANCE HAS JOINTLY ATTACKED LIBYA).(INDIA -CHINA-RUSSIA-AFRICA)are against this attack: first impact on commodity markets:going to creat high voletilty:RESULT small invester are going to caught both side long or short if they are not technically sound:STRATEGY FOR MONDAY MORNING REQUIRED:try to square up your position as early as possible in profit or at par as and when YOU GET A CHANCE:NEXT STRATEGY:wait and watch and try to stay away to protect your capital:these are my views, capital is yours, you are the best judgeTHANKS

 

[ashwani chadha]

advance warning to viewersUSA.UK.FRANCE HAS JOINTLY ATTACKED LIBYA).(INDIA -CHINA-RUSSIA-AFRICA)are against this attack: first impact on commodity markets:going to creat high voletilty:RESULT small invester are going to caught both side long or short if they are not technically sound:STRATEGY FOR MONDAY MORNING REQUIRED:try to square up your position as early as possible in profit or at par as and when YOU GET A CHANCE:NEXT STRATEGY:wait and watch and try to stay away to protect your capital:these are my views, capital is yours, you are the best judgeTHANKS

read above:try to protect your capital:dont greed:it is very easy to loose money in the commodity market:but it is very difficult to recover it