how much return you expect from commodity market

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ayush2020

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case of silver
DEAR VISHUMAJAHAN,
LONG ENTRY CAME IN SILVER AS ON 30/12/2011 AT 50694 AND YOU WAS ONE OF THOSE,WHO BOUGHT IT JUST AT FIRST DAY WHEN LONG MOMENTUM STARTED IN SILVER MICRO AND TILL TO DAY TRAILING STOP LOSS OF SILVER IS IN TACT
SUPPORT OF SILVER MICRO YESTERDAY ----------------------------56414 Rs
VALUE OF ONE MOMENTUM SILVER MICRO FEB FUTURE-----------------501 Rs
net value of trailing stop loss for to day--(56414-501=55913)--
closing price yesterday 57182-value of stop loss 55913=risk factor-----1269 Rs
have bought yesterday @56450 level.. 2 micro lots.. :)
 
CASE OF LEAD:long momentum started in lead 3 Feb
optimum entry time 6 o clock at 106/40
initial stop loss low of 2 Feb wide red bar 104/90
yesterday support 106/80
value of one momentum 1/10
net trailing stop loss for to day 106/80-1/10=105/70
profit till yesterday 109/20-106.40=2800 Rs
value at risk 109/20-105/70=3500 Rs
Dear Sir,

Thank you for the information. I have missed this opportunities. Is it recommended to make any fresh entry in any metal today?

rgds,
Deepak
 
no formula was developed so far ,to calculate the accurate value of one momentum,but i have developed a mathematical formula to calculate the accurate value of one momentum,at this stage i can not disclose it.
But as an alternative to one momentum,you can USE.35 atr at a default value of 14 period,from the support,to reach at your trailing stop loss on last eod closed bar(and you can use any perfect support system)
Thanks Vishu but the post you referring not opening...can you post the same here..
I was referring to the above one.

Thanks.
 
Covered the short day before just before the vertical take off of copper...
dear akumar,
i will shortly explain, when trade is in long momentum,why these vertical fall comes,and how and when these are en cashed and after that how re entry is taken in prime trend,once prime trend resumes,like, as you said in copper ,you closed your first short or long ,but it looks re entry was missed by you on long side after that .after short was closed two time long came just with small correction
 
Ashwani sir, i have one doubt - while calculating the support/resistance/pivot level in bullions or metals for MCX , are you considering foreign markets also ? (and thus calculating in US $)

The thing is as everyone knows MCX market timings doesn't match with international 24 hour market timings for trading bullions/metals and also the dollar rate plays an important role in calculating the spot price of any commodity

Please share your thoughts.

Thanks.
 

ayush2020

Well-Known Member
dear akumar,
i will shortly explain, when trade is in long momentum,why these vertical fall comes,and how and when these are en cashed and after that how re entry is taken in prime trend,once prime trend resumes,like, as you said in copper ,you closed your first short or long ,but it looks re entry was missed by you on long side after that .after short was closed two time long came just with small correction
the vertical rise or fall we can see in nickel too.... yes Boss need to know how to handle these kind of situation ... thanx :)
 
Ashwani sir, i have one doubt - while calculating the support/resistance/pivot level in bullions or metals for MCX , are you considering foreign markets also ? (and thus calculating in US $)

The thing is as everyone knows MCX market timings doesn't match with international 24 hour market timings for trading bullions/metals and also the dollar rate plays an important role in calculating the spot price of any commodity

Please share your thoughts.

Thanks.
i faced this problem and when i realized the importance of this problem ,i solved this problem at my level,according to the level of knowledge i have and now i am quite comfortable,i will shortly share the whole process and the solution which i have finalized to over come this problem
 
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