how much return you expect from commodity market

[ashwani chadha]

viewers of this thread are aware that i reduce one momentum from lower support,to reach at my trailing stop loss.
Reason of just giving one momentum below lower support,which is app equal to .35 atr (quite small in value)is ,any body can manipulate value of commodity during day,so i am using this small trailing stop loss to protect the position from manipulators-to be continued

but in Forex pairs and in nifty from Indian market,we don't require any such protection from manipulators,so here the stop loses ,which i use are quite large as i know,no body can manipulate these for per-matured trigger-so i always give full space to Forex pairs and nifty for noise,so that we can comfortably squeeze its full juice till last drop-TO BE CONTINUED

 

[ashwani chadha]

but in Forex pairs and in nifty from Indian market,we don't require any such protection from manipulators,so here the stop loses ,which i use are quite large as i know,no body can manipulate these for per-matured trigger-so i always give full space to Forex pairs and nifty for noise,so that we can comfortably squeeze its full juice till last drop-TO BE CONTINUED

REGULAR VIEWERS OF MY THREAD KNOW,I HAVE DEVELOPED SEVERAL INDICATORS FOR MY PERSONNEL USE
WHEN I DEVELOPED TRAILING CUM PROTECTIVE STOP LOSS INDICATOR FOR ANY TRADING INSTRUMENT TO WHOM NO BODY CAN MANIPULATE,I INCORPORATED ALL THE FEATURES OF TRAILING STOP LOSS SYSTEMS DEVELOPED TILL TO DAY AND I REMOVED ALL THE SHORT COMING OF THESE PREVAILING TRAILING STOP LOSS INDICATORS TO MAKE MINE A PERFECT ONE-to be continued

 

[ashwani chadha]

regular viewers of my thread know,i have developed several indicators for my personnel use
when i developed trailing cum protective stop loss indicator for any trading instrument to whom no body can manipulate,i incorporated all the features of trailing stop loss systems developed till to day and i removed all the short coming of these prevailing trailing stop loss indicators to make mine a perfect one-to be continued

in mine (trailing cum protective stop loss indicator)i have used three lines which comes below current price
first one is lower support line
second one is trailing stop loss line
third one is protective stop loss line
mathematics which i used to develop these line is such:first we will use protective stop loss to save our long positions
so before price hit this protective stop loss,it wii have to face one protective shield that is lower support-which is a strong support
if it hits lower support,then price will have to face trailing stop loss-which is again a strong support
if it hits trailing stop ,even then to reach at a protective stop to close the trade,price will have to do a lot of effort,as protective stop loss is quite below trailing stop loss-to be continued

 

[ashwani chadha]

in mine (trailing cum protective stop loss indicator)i have used three lines which comes below current price
first one is lower support line
second one is trailing stop loss line
third one is protective stop loss line
mathematics which i used to develop these line is such:first we will use protective stop loss to save our long positions
so before price hit this protective stop loss,it wii have to face one protective shield that is lower support-which is a strong support
if it hits lower support,then price will have to face trailing stop loss-which is again a strong support
if it hits trailing stop ,even then to reach at a protective stop to close the trade,price will have to do a lot of effort,as protective stop loss is quite below trailing stop loss-to be continued

beauty of this trailing stop loss system is that once trade will cover 70% level,the protective stop loss line will intersect with trailing stop loss line.
AND NOW PROTECTIVE STOP LOSS LINE WILL AUTOMATICALLY CONVERT IN TO TRAILING STOP LOSS LINE AND WE WILL ALSO KNOW 70 % OF THE TRADE IS OVER -TO BE CONTINUED

 

[ashwani chadha]

beauty of this trailing stop loss system is that once trade will cover 70% level,the protective stop loss line will intersect with trailing stop loss line.
And now protective stop loss line will automatically convert in to trailing stop loss line and we will also know 70 % of the trade is over -to be continued

once another 20 % of the trade will be over,it means total 90% of the trade will be over,now protective stop loss line,which is now new trailing stop loss line,will again intersect with lower support and now their will be no protection in between price and our trailing stop loss
so this trailing stop loss line will automatically convert in to sar(stop and reverse line) so once price will hit this sar,long will be closed and short will be opened at once

 

[ashwani chadha]

once another 20 % of the trade will be over,it means total 90% of the trade will be over,now protective stop loss line,which is now new trailing stop loss line,will again intersect with lower support and now their will be no protection in between price and our trailing stop loss
so this trailing stop loss line will automatically convert in to sar(stop and reverse line) so once price will hit this sar,long will be closed and short will be opened at once

now basic purpose of giving these posts to day is that on friday at gci plate form ,trailing stop loss line has intersected lower support of nifty feb future and now their is no support in betwen price and lower support and the sar value of nifty feb future on friday was 5331 ,where as its lower support was at 5325.it means we are at last 10 % level of long trade of nifty and price can any time hit sar value and trade will be reversed at once

 

[gurmy.]

Dear sir,
thanks for coming back and making this thread live again.there are very few people who have a clear knowledge like you,and out of them still very few are there to share their knowledge selflessly.
it will pay you in the long term handsomely,because as i understand,teaching is the best way of learning and learning never ends.
though i am a great follower of you,but i am very lazy to write.
one thing i observed since u restarted this thread,that u are more direct in explaining the things,keep it up sir,
thanks

 

[DN1406]

CASE OF LEAD
dear cotton,one:yesterday stop loss was 105/70 it was hit,so technically trade was closed yesterday
two:at eod closing of lead was in confirmed short trend,so at 11.55 trade was required to be closed ,even if stop loss was not hit yesterday
three:to day green bar is irrelevant,it is just correction of yesterday fall
four:after wide range red bar,as it was on yesterday,momentum may again start next day on long side
five:so if one is comfortable over all,then they save these type of long trade ,with historical stop loss of previous support,here we have opened the move on 3 feb with 104/90 historical stop loss,so if you are still in the trade and overall comfortable,you can hold your long with initial stop loss of 104.90.
YOUR ONLY MISTAKE IS ,YOUR ENTRY IN THE TRADE WAS LATE

Dear Sir,

Now as you said lead it is in confirmed short trend. Is their an opportunity for short move at the support level? Please guide.

with regards,
Deepak

 

[gurmy.]

Dear Sir,

Now as you said lead it is in confirmed short trend. Is their an opportunity for short move at the support level? Please guide.

with regards,
Deepak

as per my understanding the fall in lead on friday is due to greece uncertainty.
so it will be best to go long on monday if it trades above its support label.

 

[ashwani chadha]

Dear Sir,

Now as you said lead it is in confirmed short trend. Is their an opportunity for short move at the support level? Please guide.

with regards,
Deepak

dear dinesh,when at once a wide range bar appear then in most of the cases it is considered as last breadth of the move and next day price start moving in its opposite direction,so in the morning i too expect as gurmy said that if morning price of lead start trading above lower support we should go long in it