how much return you expect from commodity market

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cotton

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in one of the post you had discussed the volitity..can you tell me which one to use...Implied or historical...and calculation based on how many days data..10 days or 7 days..
 
means panic selling...So in these cases when you ar caught..what should be the best strategy...
normally expert traders are already short before free fall, but even if it comes at once ,they are already at break even stop loss,as to day, i advised you to shift your stop loss to break even in gold long,and free fall came after several hour,so even if free fall came but you were already safe,read my to day posts, you will under stand
 
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