how much return you expect from commodity market

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i know..lost all the profit but capital intact...time to start again :thumb:
if some ones initial end of day stop loss hit again & again,it means miles to go before he reap,but if some ones( trading on end of day basis) trailing stop loss hit after few days,it means a future money minting king is on the cards best of luck
 
dear sumitsj,to day as for as intra day position are concerned gold/silver/crude all the three are in week zone, one should be care full,as for as eod positions are concerned one can go long in gold sl 20900/-silver sl-52900/- crude stop loss 4650/-,as far as fmv concept is concerned,in this we pick data from all the three time frame.eod/swing/pure intraday-it is a pure mathematical & very cmplicated process,we will discuss it at some later stage,i think you will excuse ,but you can ask any time fmp of any commodity,how it is used for trading ,i will explain on sunday, at present i am trading thanks
if market price of any stock is above its fair market value it means on intra day we can take only long position in it,when difference of fmv & market price is lowest then we will go long in it with fmv as its stoploss,if price try to go below its fmv then we wiil close the move at once ,it shows that intra day trend is going to change but if price is trading above its fmv then we can take target profit for intra day purpose or can carry it for next day,for swing trading purpose with confidense,but it is just a momentom strategy for either side momentom,for range bound commodities it will not work,it is quite successfull in nifty as montem does not changrs in nifty so fast on day to day basis thanks
 
dear ashwani chadha.. can u throw some light on fair market value... just wanted to know what is fmv... and how to calculate it..and how it will helpful for us while deciding price trend..waiting for prompt reply.......
 
dear ashwani chadha.. can u throw some light on fair market value... just wanted to know what is fmv... and how to calculate it..and how it will helpful for us while deciding price trend..waiting for prompt reply.......
dear k.raaja,your own leval of knowledge is so high,it is just equilent to me ,their may be miner change in your & mine intra day strategy but almost it is one and the same, thats why i twice complimented you for your perdicition on silver/CRUDE ,although at forum it will not be possible to discuss in detail complicated fmv strategy,in personel meeting at a later stage we can discuss this,but as far as your case is concerned,to give stop loss of 4675/- in crude when its fmv was 4671/-it is only possible when some one is quite near to its technique.if i gave intra day call for crude exactly at 10 a.m then my stop loss would be also exactly 4675/- 4 point above its fmv,since it was trading below its fmv so naturally on short side,if you will tell me trend of all the nine commodities after to day ( saturday)closing& what should be the stop loss for intra day point of view for monday, exactly based on your trend line without giving a extra margin to it ,then i will tell you just know,(how much close you are)(Or weather your strategy is accurate)(OR WHAT MINOR ADJUSTMENT YOUR STRATEGY REQUIRED TO CHANGE, SO THAT IT IS CONVERTED TO FMV STRATEGY, IN THIS WAY YOUR PURPOSE WILL BE SOLVED , YOU WILL ALWAYS BI IN INTRA DAY TREND,AND MY STRATEGY WILL NOT BE DISCLOSED TO EVERY BODY, FAR WHOM IT IS NOT SO IMPORTANT OR OF NOT SOME USE ARE WHO DONT UNDER STAND ITS IMPORTANCE WAITING FAR LIST OF INTRADAY BEFORE OPENING TREND/STOP LOSS FROM YOUR SIDE TO GIVE FURTHUR REPLY ( I HAVE SPENT APPROX 2000 HOUR ON INTERNET TO SNATCH THIS STRATEGY FROM THE MIND OF TOP TRADING STRATEGIST,U.K/,USA/AUSTRILIA & I GOT IT IN PART & THEN ASSEMBLED IT ON MY OWN ,SAME WAY I WILL TRANSER IT TO YOU IF YOU WILL TAKE INTERST,IN PART IT WILL COME TO YOU. YOU WILL ASSEMBLE IT AT YOUR END ,ONLY THEN YOU WILL THINK TWICE, TO DELIVER IT TO THIRD ,WHO DONT UNDER STAND ITS IMPORTANCE,I HAVE TAKEN IT FROM PERSONS TO WHOM I DONT KNUW ,I WANT TO GIVE TO A PERSON TO WHOM I DONT KNOW,WHAT I HAVE TAKEN I WANT TO GIVE IT TO A PERSON WHO REALLY DESERVE IT AND ITS YOU THANKS
 
copper trend :: short one every rise by keeping stoploss at 431 for tgts 421...413..409..402..396

crude trend.. short with sl at 4621 on every rise for tgts 4425..4345

nickel trend :: short nickel on every rise with sl 1208 for tgts 1194..1183..1171..1166

zinc :: buy on dips with sl at 99.30 lvls for tgt 105/107.65/108

these are just my views.. based on purely technicals.. my views may be wrong..double check while taking positions
 
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lead trend.. short on every rise by keeping stoploss at 114.50 lvls for tgts 107.50..106

natural gas trend.. buy in every dip with sl 166 for tgts 180/188

gold view.. buy gold in every dip by keeping sl at 20,780 for tgts 21008/21,140/21,254/21,340
 
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