MACD
Before you start putting your money, please read books I mentioned in this thread. Investing/Trading in stocks is like any other job/business. We do bachelors and masters to get the job. We spend all our life for that job. What do we get? Fixed income, which neither lets you live or die. Thats where stock market comes in. There is no end to making money
. No end to your dreams. So, we need to ask ourselves, how much time we need to spend studying for the opportunities of endless wealth. You need to give yourself atleast 2 to 10 years. Everyday you learn something. Please read the books I mentioned before you put your money. Start with small amounts so that you will lose less amount while you learn your lessons.
I don't remember the exact definition of MACD. Please refer the books. But, the way it works: there are 2 EMAs. Short term EMA (9) and Long Term EMA (12,26). Short term EMA tells what is happening right now. Long Term EMA tells you what has been happening for some time. Difference between these EMAs will give you the divergence (Present - Past), shown by MACD histogram. MACD is a very powerfull indicator. It can tell you what is happening underneath the price movement. As with any indicator(s), MACD may not be usefull all the time. For instance, if the stock is any trading range, MACD is not useful. MACD Histogram above 0 will tell you bullishness and below bearishness. This is useful to compare how strong bullishness/bearishness between 2 points.
Now, look at the Tata Motors example. Compare bullishness between March 6th versus March 20 for the same price of 975 or so. You can clearly see that bulls are losing. This is just an indicator. It may not happen. But, we are looking for
probability. Did I say that
. Trading in stock market is all about probability. You need to pick stocks which have high probability of making you money. Any doubt, move on to the next stock (Do not get attached to a particular stock). And we know there are several of them that need your money in BSE/NSE.
sail@67,
It already tried 2 times the current level before in March'05 and Oct'05. Bullishness has decreased between March06'06 (70) and March22'06 (70). Put a stop at 63 (2 times tried before). Let the market show it.
gujarat ambuja@97 - Good chart
Looking at the pattern of the stock, it touches 50 day EMA and then goes up. It did that at 70, 77 and 85. So, you should have waited for that to happen again before getting in. Now, you have 2 options. Get out for break even (right now it 96) or wait with a stop at 85 below previous base.
kotak mahindra bank @247
From Dec'05 till now, stuck in a trading range between 220 and 260. Lucky for you that it is just coming out of that. So, hopefully it doesn't come back to the trading range. Depending on you stop loss, take partial profits and move the stop to break even. Ideally, never enter when the stock is in trading range. They can be for months/years. Let them come out of the trading range. Then they test previous top of range by pull back. Thats when you enter above the pull back.