VV sire market looks to be topping, seeing your thread the mob has returned with tips, no offence to anyone
Czar,
Here are my reasons for me being positive about the market.
1) Look at all the sectors. They are all up except Metals.
http://charting.bseindia.com/charting/index.asp
2) My scans are giving high no. of stocks.
3) Most of the stocks are showing above the 50 day EMA with good volumes with few exceptions.
4) Indexes are up more than straight 5 days.
5) Look at Advances versus Decliners and other charts at
http://www.icharts.in/breadth-charts.html
You are right that market is overbought. It might pull back. I would have agreed with U that this market would go down if the sector action wasn't good. Or if the advancers vs decliners showed divergence. Or volume in the stocks is low in the uptrend. But, they do not. So, till I see any negative price or volume action in BSE500 and sectors, I will remain positive.
In the end, it is always about what methodology U follow. Simple put, what criteria U are looking for before U take a position. My setup criteria is:
1) Market Indexes (BSE500) should have at a minimum 8 EMA cross up 50 EMA
2) Sector of the stock should have at a minimum 8 EMA cross up 50 EMA
3) The stock has at a minimum 8 EMA cross up 50 EMA.
Criteria 1 is satisfied. Criteria 2 is satisifed for all except Metals. Criteria 3 will depend on the stock. If my methodology gives me a buy, I buy. It does not matter even if I feel I will lose money. Similarly, I will not buy a stock if my methodology doesn't give me a buy, inspite of my feelings of making money.
I (or Neither U) do/should not fear losing. Loss and Gain are just outcomes of trading a stock, which I or U do not have control over. However, we do have control over how we manage loss or gain. We limit loss by constant risk, increase gain with muliple of risk. Difference of this is going to make U winner.