Kthakker Bro,
Attach is the image where i have tried to give Wave Structure for Nifty.Will appreciate your comments/thoughts for same.Please note still in learning phase hence if this is completely wrong kindly provide your views as well.
22/12/2013 Sunday
Hi,
First things first.
Your manually labeling of the Elliot Waves on the Chart is wrong
Your Mistakes
- To apply the correct Elliot Wave label on the Chart you'll have to familiarize yourself thoroughly with Elliot Wave Guidelines and Fibonacci ratios. You are not familiar with Elliot Wave Guidelines and Fibonacci ratio.
- Your Elliot Wave connotations are wrong.
Refer the fig for correct Connotation and Labeling
Manually label the chart as per Primary Wave Degree connotations.
There are always two Open Options when a Wave starts, because no one knows in advance as to what will happen in future.
For eg. Wave 3 is always the longest, so at times its creates a confusion weather the ending of Wave 3 is for real or Wave 3 will still extend.
The particular doubt happened in this current Wave structure.
See the two different Wave structure that are formed
Initial Wave Structure
Start - End
W1 = 5108 - 5572
W2 = 5572 - 5319
W3 = 5319 - 6175
The above was the initial Wave 3 label which happened on 19/09/2013
W4 = 6175 - 5754 W4 ended as per Fibonacci ratio and so it was assumed that Wave 5 has started.
W5 = 6175 - 6194 was the high on 15/10/2013 (nearly about a month after Wave 3 high was made) the Wave that was supposed to be Wave 5 was relabeled as Wave 3, due to which Wave 4 disappeared. With this relabeling calculations had to be redone.
The relabeling increases the not only the work load but also The Dreaded word "Tension"
The new Wave structure after relabeling
Start - End
W1 = 5108 - 5572
W2 = 5572 - 5319
W3 = 5319 - 6383 Wave 3 continued to complete at 6383
W4 = 6383 - 5983 W4 ended as per Fibonacci ratio
W5 = 5983 = 6480 Is the level where Wave 5 get's over.
Now, do you understand how difficult it is to learn and forecast correctly so that money is not lost.
Money Management starts with Correct Forecasting and labeling your Elliot Wave.
So, while keeping this variable in mind, Re-label your Elliot Wave accordingly and some of your doubts will be cleared.
Nevertheless doubts will remain. It will take Time and Experience to get over it.
Go slow in understanding the Elliot Wave concept.
Bye