Dear,
Thanks for replying. I am not joking, I m serious. I will name states
Delhi 5 seats, Punjab 10 Seats, Haryana 2-3, Chandigarh 1, UP 4 to 5, Maharashtra 3-4, Karnataka 1-2, Uttrakhand 1, Himachal 1. These are sure seats rest will be tukka jahan chal jaye.
What I see even after getting 50 to 80 seats by AAP Modi has very fair chances to form govt. My calculations are as under
AAP : 70, UPA ( Congress + alliance) 100, Mamta Banerjee 30, Others(SP+BSP+Left+Jaylalitha+JDU+etc.) 100 Total comes to 300
In this case NDA remains with 543-300=243. NDA at 243 can easily take one or two outer alliance & form the govt.
Please suggest where I am actually wrong, as I am confused in this maths. If AAP gets appx 50 seats NDA clear cut near to win. Am I under expecting UPA or others?[/QUOTE]
Hi
As per your calcaulation is itself NDA gets only 240 , sort of 33 seats ..meaning some outside support from ladies (JJ, Mamata and Maya)
If this is going to happen, this lady/ladies wont support immediatly after results, then they will bargin (money/power/CBI cases etc etc) for a week atleast, that time we can see serious downside movement with lower circuites....
Again as per ur calucation NDA - 240 , UPA -100 and Non UPA+Non NDA- 240
thats is case, congress will try to support third front (like Dev gowda, guiral govtments in 1996), so again no stablity , thus down trends