Is nf will hit lower circuit after election result?

marimuthu13

Well-Known Member
#73
Dear,
Thanks for replying. I am not joking, I m serious. I will name states
Delhi 5 seats, Punjab 10 Seats, Haryana 2-3, Chandigarh 1, UP 4 to 5, Maharashtra 3-4, Karnataka 1-2, Uttrakhand 1, Himachal 1. These are sure seats rest will be tukka jahan chal jaye.

What I see even after getting 50 to 80 seats by AAP Modi has very fair chances to form govt. My calculations are as under

AAP : 70, UPA ( Congress + alliance) 100, Mamta Banerjee 30, Others(SP+BSP+Left+Jaylalitha+JDU+etc.) 100 Total comes to 300
In this case NDA remains with 543-300=243. NDA at 243 can easily take one or two outer alliance & form the govt.

Please suggest where I am actually wrong, as I am confused in this maths. If AAP gets appx 50 seats NDA clear cut near to win. Am I under expecting UPA or others?[/QUOTE]

Hi
As per your calcaulation is itself NDA gets only 240 , sort of 33 seats ..meaning some outside support from ladies (JJ, Mamata and Maya)

If this is going to happen, this lady/ladies wont support immediatly after results, then they will bargin (money/power/CBI cases etc etc) for a week atleast, that time we can see serious downside movement with lower circuites....


Again as per ur calucation NDA - 240 , UPA -100 and Non UPA+Non NDA- 240

thats is case, congress will try to support third front (like Dev gowda, guiral govtments in 1996), so again no stablity , thus down trends
 
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sudoku1

Well-Known Member
#75
Dear,
Thanks for replying. I am not joking, I m serious. I will name states
Delhi 5 seats, Punjab 10 Seats, Haryana 2-3, Chandigarh 1, UP 4 to 5, Maharashtra 3-4, Karnataka 1-2, Uttrakhand 1, Himachal 1. These are sure seats rest will be tukka jahan chal jaye.

What I see even after getting 50 to 80 seats by AAP Modi has very fair chances to form govt. My calculations are as under

AAP : 70, UPA ( Congress + alliance) 100, Mamta Banerjee 30, Others(SP+BSP+Left+Jaylalitha+JDU+etc.) 100 Total comes to 300
In this case NDA remains with 543-300=243. NDA at 243 can easily take one or two outer alliance & form the govt.

Please suggest where I am actually wrong, as I am confused in this maths. If AAP gets appx 50 seats NDA clear cut near to win. Am I under expecting UPA or others?


after d results r out, It wil b enough dat people know der WAS an election.
people who CAST d votes decide nothing.. its d people who COUNT d votes decide everythng !!!!!:D
 

TradeOptions

Well-Known Member
#76
ADMK expected to get 30 seats....

Getting the support of Jayalalitha will not be that easy for Modi. He unnecessarily commented on TN governance....then she started comparing Gujarat/TN....and comments like this 'lady' gives good governance not 'Modi'

Even if she gives support....she will squeeze his you know what.....
How long back did Modi gave this statement against Jayalalitha ? I used to think that they both are at good terms and it will be easy for Modi to get the support from Jaya.

If what you said is true, then the path to become PM becomes even tougher for Modi, because he looses atleast 25+ seats from the probable alliance.

And hence one more reason for the Nifty to go down after election results.
 

stock72

Well-Known Member
#77
How long back did Modi gave this statement against Jayalalitha ? I used to think that they both are at good terms and it will be easy for Modi to get the support from Jaya.

If what you said is true, then the path to become PM becomes even tougher for Modi, because he looses atleast 25+ seats from the probable alliance.

And hence one more reason for the Nifty to go down after election results.
Surely jaya will support modi ... but govt will not last longer as both ( modi and jaya ) are like same poles .. a small spark will break the whole chain ...
 

mlp

New Member
#78
I have decided to play a very small amount 25K for Lower side of mkt. I feel that NAMO will be short by 30-40 seats for reaching 272. what should I play? 6000 put for May, 6500 Put for May, 5500 put for June or 6000 Put for June. Or mix of all. Any suggestion?
 

sudoku1

Well-Known Member
#79
I feel that NAMO will be short by 30-40 seats for reaching 272. what should I play?
u r entering d mkt wid d mindset of a gambler n nt a trader bcoz as long as u hav ur coffers full , u wil always feel d urge 2 trade.so as long as u FEEL , it doesnt matter wat u PLAY:)