Learning to catch High Probability Breakouts

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Timepass

This stock does not look very special.On a Monthly time frame it is ranging between 60-140 levels.

The only time it trended was in the bull markets of Sept 2013.During this period any and every stock shot by sentiments than by fundamentals.

Has not been trending in either bull or bear markets from the year 2007.Looks weak and unable to cross the resistance of 140 on a Weekly and Daily levels.

Has to cross and take support at 140 levels to indicate strength.
It spent nearly 4 years in 60-100 channel. Seems like it is in the beginning phase of the new channel (100-140). ?? Maybe good for accumulation in 110-100 level ??

Monthly Chart of Redington.



Weekly Chart of Redington.



Daily Chart of Redington.

 

amitrandive

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It spent nearly 4 years in 60-100 channel. Seems like it is in the beginning phase of the new channel (100-140). ?? Maybe good for accumulation in 110-100 level ??
Can't say for sure.

The current surge in the stock is because its overseas arm acquires 47.78% stake in ADEO.Looks like a too risky stock with more than 50% stock being owned by promoters/institutions.
A dismal 3.16% quantity is with the Indian Public.

Shareholding Pattern in Redington.



The stock also surged because Reliance Mutual fund brought a huge quantity of this stock.

http://www.business-standard.com/ar...liance-mutual-fund-buying-114111100275_1.html
 
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amitrandive

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..contd

6)Channels

The market is always in channels. Sometimes traders have to look at a higher time frame chart to see them, and most of them are not what most textbooks describe as channels. However, traders know what channels really look like and they are very flexible when they choose points to draw lines. Once they see two points, they draw a line and watch to see if the market reverses if it get back to the line. They are constantly erasing lines that the market is ignoring and are always drawing new ones.







Although 75% of of the time, a test of the top of bull channel is followed by a reversal down, sometimes there is a successful bull breakout. The trend then converts from a weak bull trend (a channel) back into a strong bull trend (a breakout).

When there is a strong breakout of a bull trend channel, traders must buy the stock market. This is the monthly S&P500 cash index candle chart.

 

amitrandive

Well-Known Member
Trend Indicators-Moving Averages

Many times Moving averages confluences are a great indication for breakouts.
For many people the question is how to catch breakouts in time.

The answer is that "It takes patience and hardwork".It is difficult to catch the breakout at the lowest low.But if you catch it ,it is highly rewarding.
Trend Indicators like moving averages always work on higher time frames.


Daily chart of TCS



Moving averages used are SMA20,50,100 and 200.
Check the circled areas for entry into a fundamentally strong stock at crossovers/confluence/retracements.


Weekly chart of TCS



Moving averages used are SMA20 and 50.
Check the circled areas for entry into a fundamentally strong stock at crossovers/confluence/retracements.


Just for education purpose only

Daily Chart of TCS.




The circled area in the Daily and Weekly Charts above is near about 2340-2360 levels of TCS.
 
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