Long or Short Opinion

Is the thread Helpfull???

  • Helpful

    Votes: 64 94.1%
  • Useless

    Votes: 4 5.9%

  • Total voters
    68
Status
Not open for further replies.

scplindia

Well-Known Member
Entire Midcap PSU banks have gone up, hence trending based on news, INFUSION OF MORE CAPITAL BY GOVT, this news is over, hence anytime profit booking should set in, as after news profit booking comes. However trade with caution, as if nifty goes up, then these will also go up and profit booking may get delayed.
 
Short Vijaya Bank Stop loss 63.35. First Target 58. Reason failed to maintain higher levels and closed at the bottom with high volumes. Clear indication of distribution. Stop can also be used at 62 by someone who is very risk averse and wants very low risk. If first target hit bring the trailing stop to 59.95.

Shorted Vijaya Bank future @ 62.30 stop loss days high.

Stop moved to 62.20 to take care of the brokerage too.
 

rajputz

Well-Known Member
Dear Just by the look of your charts, it seems Vijaya bank is trending strongly. Well, I am not an expert in Volume analysis, hence cannot comment on that. But by the look of trend it is not advisable to do so. Along with Vijaya bank, I think many banks in the same genre are doing well as well. In a sticky market they seem to be holding up. Hence, even if they come down, it would be a mere pullback and not a correction to profit from. Also, on very short time frame, the entire BankIndex is in 3 rd Wave according to EW. That means, leg 5 could be expected. And if that's the case, then these stocks should consolidate and move higher.

Just my opinion.

Tc
Hi Raunak Sir,

Market facilitation index is just my second thought. My first thoguth remains with the CCI alone, but still many dont understand it and dont consider it good, didnt followed on that. Trend is indeed strong. One thing that i also didnt mentioned was the stochastic and RSI oscillators have just crossed in overbought. Nice thought will be to short on signs of divergence. Not just oversold and over bought alone.
 

rajputz

Well-Known Member
One of the trick that I follow is I pick up stocks for shorting before TV guys speak about them. The moment TV guys speak about them, I do not dare to short them.

Bottom like is, TV guys are talking about IT as short today, hence time to be careful in short them for today at least.
This idea is also good ST. :) . Will try it...

I am waiting for yesterdays low to be broken in IT stocks....They are facing resistance in going up.
 
Dear Just by the look of your charts, it seems Vijaya bank is trending strongly. Well, I am not an expert in Volume analysis, hence cannot comment on that. But by the look of trend it is not advisable to do so. Along with Vijaya bank, I think many banks in the same genre are doing well as well. In a sticky market they seem to be holding up. Hence, even if they come down, it would be a mere pullback and not a correction to profit from. Also, on very short time frame, the entire BankIndex is in 3 rd Wave according to EW. That means, leg 5 could be expected. And if that's the case, then these stocks should consolidate and move higher.

Just my opinion.

Tc
Runakji I agree its in an Uptrend but if the nifty goes down these stocks have to lead the leg lower as Banking sector in India has held the market rather well. But my view is my trading system that generated a sell signal. I try to find the bottom and peak. Hence Such narrow stop losses. But when it works it really works well.

I told chaitnaya the other day to buy tata metaliks up almost 20% in 2 days. Similarly with Texamo pipes got a buy on Tuesday got 10% in 2 days. But I do get it wrong too. So I wont be surprised if it doesn't work. I shorted today at 62.30 now stop at 62.20 and might get the stop hit as market is 62.10 right now. So you guys might be right but I was just following my system.
 

rajputz

Well-Known Member
Runakji I agree its in an Uptrend but if the nifty goes down these stocks have to lead the leg lower as Banking sector in India has held the market rather well. But my view is my trading system that generated a sell signal. I try to find the bottom and peak. Hence Such narrow stop losses. But when it works it really works well.

I told chaitnaya the other day to buy tata metaliks up almost 20% in 2 days. Similarly with Texamo pipes got a buy on Tuesday got 10% in 2 days. But I do get it wrong too. So I wont be surprised if it doesn't work. I shorted today at 62.30 now stop at 62.20 and might get the stop hit as market is 62.10 right now. So you guys might be right but I was just following my system.
Adapt, Overcome, Improvize... :clapping:
 

SwingKing

Well-Known Member
Rajputz and Nimish,

I feel you guys could be right in your call. For some reason, I am not that great trader (short term). I am a very good Medium term Trader though (Both on the Long and Short side). Essentially what I am doing is building up significant shorts in my portfolio in Nifty and Bankex Futures (2-3 month perspective). I had shorted markets when they were at 5370 and squared off at 4850. Now, I am expecting a second leg down move, which is going to be slow. Hence, I am taking a long term call on the markets (1-3 months). As you all know, my targets remain 4400-4500. I personally don't see the Index moving higher (making new highs). I move with very strict stop losses, currently that being 5110-5130 band. Hence, I carry low risk and good reward potential. Let's see how it all goes.

Incidentally, Nimish and you do a very good job in short term trading. Keep it up.

Tc
 

SwingKing

Well-Known Member
Runakji I agree its in an Uptrend but if the nifty goes down these stocks have to lead the leg lower as Banking sector in India has held the market rather well. But my view is my trading system that generated a sell signal. I try to find the bottom and peak. Hence Such narrow stop losses. But when it works it really works well.

I told chaitnaya the other day to buy tata metaliks up almost 20% in 2 days. Similarly with Texamo pipes got a buy on Tuesday got 10% in 2 days. But I do get it wrong too. So I wont be surprised if it doesn't work. I shorted today at 62.30 now stop at 62.20 and might get the stop hit as market is 62.10 right now. So you guys might be right but I was just following my system.
Nimish, if this is the case then seriously hats off to you. Following a system and having such belief is absolutely wonderful. For short term, I have made many profitable systems, but have never had the patience to follow them. I follow medium term systems very well and I do well on that horizon because my trader personality lies there.

I have always felt short term trading is very difficult and hence those who can execute it are really good traders.

Great going.

Tc
 
Nimish, if this is the case then seriously hats off to you. Following a system and having such belief is absolutely wonderful. For short term, I have made many profitable systems, but have never had the patience to follow them. I follow medium term systems very well and I do well on that horizon because my trader personality lies there.

I have always felt short term trading is very difficult and hence those who can execute it are really good traders.

Great going.

Tc
Stopped out at break even after taking into account brokerage. Will look to enter short below 61.90 now which is acting as a good support and 62.30 as a stop which has proved good resistance.

Raunakji still new to this system thing. I did paper trade in Uk market and my system worked really well on short term swing trades. FTSE tanked 5% and got a return of 8% during that time. So since then just adding some filters and improving the system now trying to use in Indian markets. As I said before it doesnt work everytime but when it does it gives good return at times.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Similar threads