Long or Short Opinion

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rajputz

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Hi goodstocks,

To be honest, i dont consider the news. I just see the charts. And that too i am not getting good results these days. Getting lot of whipsaws on my paper trades. Still these are my views about nifty.

Currently nifty looks like going down. The trend reversal pattern i was talking about previously, ghost and VT all failed, and the next pattern is ZLR (trend Continuation to downside). Although CCI defines a trend when 6 bars to downside are formed below -100. But for the one who doesnt use CCI, trend seems to be established when the recent top fails to be broken and Lower top forms.

Trading on the daily charts, it seems like nice opportunity if we would have shorted around 3:00PM on friday for swing trade. But coudlnt comment in real time as i dont have the live data feed(i am not trading for last 15 days). But thats history cause its gone.

Still more downside is expected. On daily charts the price has just reverted near the 20 and 34 EMA. CCI hook of ZLR is also good. If downward moves continue, i expect nifty to b around 5018 / 4966 / 4874. Once nifty closes below 4970, then it can slide further, so thats the level to keep close eye on.

Trading on weekly charts. it is just in serious sell zone. 4970 is the hurdle and decider. Once crossed, nifty can zoom to downside. Lets c if nifty takes support near it and bounces back.

 

rajputz

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Just for the information, few days back like 5-6 days or more, i think i saw some where, the message, FIIs -(100-200) cr appx in cash, and +(3000-4000 cr appx) in FNO. What was that. Does that give some hint. or i am mistaken some where.
 
This is how over all situation is now, from 5200 resistance level market fell apart in intraday today. Expecting 4980-5000 odd level on Monday or Tuesday.

As of today 5000 PUT has highest OI. It may be possible to get support around 5000. Bigger range market is good for trading now. As when market changes mood, can be identified better way than before.

Over all closing basis, 5200 would remain as resistance in the series.

Is it possible to see a crash below 200 DMA? No straight answer as yet. We have to see how we trade for some more days.

Happy trading!
4980 NF has come. I feel one can cover shorts here. We could see some bounce from here is swing basis (do not know intraday).
 
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