dear,
what abt. RCOM, is it time for long......( short and mid term)
Let me attempt to answer this.
Technically: RCOM or for that matter no telecom stock is showing signs of revival. They are still forming lower highs and lower lows. Support levels of these stocks lie very close, but whether they will hold or not, that only time will say. Price structure is very bearish. I won't get too much into the technicals as nearly everyone knows they look in a bad shape.
Fundamentally: What does one sector need to do to get in the buying zone ? Well, there must be demand, favorable price structure, fairly less competitive markets, cost optimization, growing market share and clarity on government rules and regulation to name a few. How many of these factors are in investors favor right now ? I'd say NONE. Demand is there, but it is being hampered by low prices. Market's are filled with competitors and penetration into the market's will get tough going forward. Government regulations and policy makers are doing their "best" to imbibe more uncertainty and lack of transparency. Furthermore, I fail to understand how the Telecom companies plan to raise so much money in order to counter the "over the top" bidding of 3g bands.
There are a lot of Analysts who are coming out recommending "Buy" on the sector. They are suggesting variety of measures on account of which the sector looks cheap (P/E, P/B, EBIDTA etc). Let me tell you, that these ratios, will continue to look attractive but the price might still head down. History has witnessed such cases in plenty and its better to avoid the same mistakes again.
What one can do is that they can keep a watch on the sector. And look for price action to suggest accumulation in the sector. Until and unless this happens, no matter how cheap these stocks look, one must avoid building positions in them.
Hope this helps.
Tc