Dear Enygma,
Ahh, VIX, don't be surprised but this figure for me is just another tool (other the the UL chart) to predit the 'direction' of the UL. Yes just the direction. And nothing else. A high HV or a low HV to me is irrelevant. Incidently if you would have observed my last trade keenly, the HV has risen in last couple of days still the short straddle was profitable. You know why? The answer is in the 'smile'. Knowing that you are a pro options trader, I know you will understand what I meant here by 'smile'.
The 'smile' wasn't there before two days, and now I can see a very broad 'smile' in fact a U shaped 'smile'. That means that the IV of ATM and near ATM options has dropped. And this is what is more important for me as an options writer in short straddle set up - a high IV (and not the HV)
To add reason for OTM covered call, as you correctly said, I am bullish on the UL over the next two days, (atleast tomorrow).
The greeks of this set up is :
Instrument ........Delta...... Vega........ Theta
Short CE 5500.....-0.40......-5.17..... ....+2.59
Long NF............ +1 .00....... --- ...........----
Long PE 5300......-0.31...... +4.81.......... - 2.33
Net...................+ 0.29.......-0.36......... +0.26
So with just -0.36 Vega I am taking care of any further drop of IV of these Options and with +0.26 Theta, time decay is taken care off. I am ok with a Delta of + 0.29 as I am neutral to bullish with the UL over next 2 days.
Just to tell you something more, VIX is calculated on the basis of OTM near and mid month Options prices so ATM and just around ATM strike options prices will not matter for VIX, the important thing as I mentioned is the IV. Also VIX is a broad barometer predicting the volatility for a longer term around a month, hence for my short TF options setups (2 / 3 days, it does not impact my setup decision at all)
Regards,
p.s. ' smile' = Volatility Smile (for the benefit of novice Options traders)
Ahh, VIX, don't be surprised but this figure for me is just another tool (other the the UL chart) to predit the 'direction' of the UL. Yes just the direction. And nothing else. A high HV or a low HV to me is irrelevant. Incidently if you would have observed my last trade keenly, the HV has risen in last couple of days still the short straddle was profitable. You know why? The answer is in the 'smile'. Knowing that you are a pro options trader, I know you will understand what I meant here by 'smile'.
The 'smile' wasn't there before two days, and now I can see a very broad 'smile' in fact a U shaped 'smile'. That means that the IV of ATM and near ATM options has dropped. And this is what is more important for me as an options writer in short straddle set up - a high IV (and not the HV)
To add reason for OTM covered call, as you correctly said, I am bullish on the UL over the next two days, (atleast tomorrow).
The greeks of this set up is :
Instrument ........Delta...... Vega........ Theta
Short CE 5500.....-0.40......-5.17..... ....+2.59
Long NF............ +1 .00....... --- ...........----
Long PE 5300......-0.31...... +4.81.......... - 2.33
Net...................+ 0.29.......-0.36......... +0.26
So with just -0.36 Vega I am taking care of any further drop of IV of these Options and with +0.26 Theta, time decay is taken care off. I am ok with a Delta of + 0.29 as I am neutral to bullish with the UL over next 2 days.
Just to tell you something more, VIX is calculated on the basis of OTM near and mid month Options prices so ATM and just around ATM strike options prices will not matter for VIX, the important thing as I mentioned is the IV. Also VIX is a broad barometer predicting the volatility for a longer term around a month, hence for my short TF options setups (2 / 3 days, it does not impact my setup decision at all)
Regards,
p.s. ' smile' = Volatility Smile (for the benefit of novice Options traders)
The parachute (Protective OTM Put) was discarded immediately at the BOD as the market opened gap up. The OTM covered call set up was prematurely wound up at review interval 1500 hrs with a net gain of 24 points (including loss incurred in Protective Put) as a new modified setup has been intiated at EOD.
Earlier I had written about my short starddle trade just to counter Sumeet thoughts and my intention was not to put / show my trades. But got carried away and had also posted my next days trade. Though this was and has never been my objective and have always refrained from this. Hence though I have taken another position EOD today like always, I will post my trades here only when I feel there is a need to counter some discussion. Else will maintain status quo.
Regards,