hello aw 10 i want your view on the market and my stratgy
right now i am holding this 5100 ce and 5100 pe i have sold both of this at a com bine rate of 177 rs sice the market is in the 5080 to 5150 rage for the hole week so right now the the prise is 134 i am in profit of 43 rs and it looks like market will be going up or say it will reach 5250 so i am thinking i will buy back my 5100ce and going to sell 5200 ce will it be good or i should stick with the plan plz explan which will be better
Sumitdasjoshi,
With mkt at 5135, 5100 put has only timevalue, and 5100 call has 35 rs of Real value and remaining time value.
i.e. out of 134 rs of price today, there is real value of 35 rs. i.e 100 rs of time value. i.e. for remaining 10 days of the contract, you have almost 10 rs per day of timevalue decay in your hand.
By closing 5100 Call and Selling 5200 call, you will have to see, how much of real timevalue are you going to get.
Though your BEP will shift further up, but may not be much. So compare the facts, take into consideration the brokerage etc and make right decision.
My preferred approach (though you can try something else) will be - Monitor the "profit left on table" very closely and decide a limit that I am ready to give back to mkt. Say out of 43 rs of current profit, I may give back 18 rs. and keep 25rs of profit. In that case, I decide to close my position when value of position, goes up to 150 or so.
Rather then tying myself to existing trade and trying to make few extra points by showing my option smartness, I will prefer to be free and move on to better opportunity in next series.
i have one more quesstion i will we find the option stirke which will loose his value like 10 to 20 rs a day if we are selling calls and puts so it will give us a better return
in daily time frame is there any wat to know which strick prize loose money fast .
I think my above example will answer this question. Simple step to decide the timevalue per Day is..
1) Find what is time value hidden in option price
2) Divide that by days remaining
3) In case of short straddle/strangle you have to take timevalue of both legs as I have explained above.
As you reach the expiry, finding that much of timevalue is not possible.. but if you write far month contracts, then it is possible to start with 5 to 7 rs per day of decay which later on grows to 10/12 rs.
Note - This is very crude way of doing the calculation, cause it is assuming their will straightline decay in time value, but in reality the decay is exponential. But I use it almost always cause
of its simplicity.
Happy Trading