Market Forecast for 02.04.07
The market remained in range bound zone on the last trading day of the financial year with lesser volumes. The market managed to close above 3820, which is the last hope for the bulls and it managed to get a strong support around 3755+. But the impact of the Reserve Bank's decision to hike CRR by 50 bps and repo rate by 25 bps after the market hours can be seen only on Monday. The market sentiments will be on the negative side on the first trading day of the new financial year. Interest rate sensitive sectors including bank, reality and auto will be specifically affected and probably the first trading day of the new financial year will be remembered as a BLACK MONDAY...
On Monday, the markets will open flat or gap down by 55-105 points and if it remains below 3765 & sustain below this level, go short with SL 3785 for a target of 3745 & 3720 and if it manages to remain above 3820+ keep long with a stop loss of 3805 for 3845-3865. Since the international market has reacted very sharply to the RBI's decision, the Indian markets will follow suit on Monday. I advise all traders to stay away from the market for the time being and risk appetite traders can go short on sector specific stocks but please stay very cautious as the market is in a critical position.