My charts (and yours too........)



Triple-bottom, Middle retracement to 61.8%

Long upper-shadow on the last body, on an interaday chart is not a recoil but a rally up towards closing time [The released "close price" is the weighed average of the last 15 mins of trade], LTP lies somewhere around the top of the shadow.

But theres still a resistance, its break would be lovely.
 
There is a belief that once you start leaning and following TA, then just listen to the charts; don't listen to different news or other sources.
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Cheers!
Babu Kothandaraman
This is prolly one of the wisest words said on TA !!!!

The reason i say so is cuz ive mulled over it many many times.... specifically if theres NEWS on a stock, would TA give a pick ?
Surprise Surprise - TA DOES give a pick !!!
Two instances that come to mind :

1 RCOM : The news driven rally - Gave a triple touch 'thrust' pattern before it started the upmove !!!!!!! [Kicker signal on 24-05-2010 to 2010-06-02]

2 ONGC : News driven rally - Gave a phenominal 'Kicker' signal at around 900 levels ... not just that,. it came back DOWN to test the gap before moving up on a news driven rally !!!!!! [Kicker on 20-05-2010]

Excellent issue to address Babu, its every TAlysts conflict / wonder.
 
Yes it is true. Most of the times the so called analysts give misleading views on T.V. It is always better to stick to your own analysis and T.A.
I had the same view on them till three things occured to me :

1. They must know a great deal more of TA than I do, to be there.

2. They have their own clients to take care of, thats where the real money lies, so he might just give a buy on a dud hoping his clients can 'exit' a bad position.

3. Sadly when you put someone on TV, call him 'The Great One', and ask him for a prophacy, he doesnt have the luxury of saying "how would i know what Nifty is going to do two weeks from now, cant you see how volatile it is", so he says something in those moments of uncertainty, hoping it comes true, thus are prophets made in the markets. A wrong call is well *shrug* its the markets, an outlandish call going right is the making of a legend.
 


The latest recoil took place off a trendline which was validated by three tops on it [more the tops, better the support on a test]

The downside had an ABC structure, tho one could be in doubt as to wether its a three wave correiction or a downside with 5 waves. That doubt was dispelled by yesterdays candle. The structure of the correction seems to conform with approx 161% ext on wave C over wave A (looks like, i havent measured it)

The lowest red body, closed ON the trendline, not under it, tho it did make a lower shadow.. ie price slipped below then came back to the trendline.

Any doubts were dispelled by yesterdays candle
a. Small upper and lower shadows
b. Volumes just above the day beore - usually a sign of 'developing interest' - more buyers are to come. Something with inordinately high volumes is more likely a 'reaction' to a previous buy signal, something with just a slight rise in volumes is what im more comfortable with

Btw this is the second Buy signal on this chart, the first came on the 1st of Oct. :
Any 3-3 setup should attract attention, ie Three tops in a line, three bottoms in a line - These form strong Triangulations, Expanding wedges etc, the 3-3 setup came where its marked "3", a strong bottom closure on a previous top marked "1" was the first buy with a target on the upper trendline. [This is very simlar to whats playing out on Sintex, with minor differences]

Basically everything seemed in favour :)
 
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babukraman

Well-Known Member



Btw this is the second Buy signal on this chart, the first came on the 1st of Oct. :
Is it so? I thought the first buy signal was on the day when upper channel was broken with a big volume.
On the 1st Oct, I don't see any volume even though the pattern looks like a morning star on a glimpse. Please advise
Any 3-3 setup should attract attention, ie Three tops in a line, three bottoms in a line - These form strong Triangulations, Expanding wedges etc, the 3-3 setup came where its marked "3", a strong bottom closure on a previous top marked "1" was the first buy with a target on the upper trendline. [This is very simlar to whats playing out on Sintex, with minor differences]
or may be this is the answer to my above question. I think I start to understand your views now (after reading the above para for quite a few times) :D

Btw, very nice analysis! :clap:
Thanks a bunch!
Babu Kothandaraman
 
Watch BHEL at CMP 2485.00/-. it crossed the trendline,supported by cross of trendline in RSI,increase in volumes also speaks that some upside can b expected in BHEL.targets can be Rs.2525.00 and Rs.2550.00 ina couple of days..:)