Re: Aksh Optifibre | Your comments please
p_haolader said:
Hi Saint/Members,
I am very new to the market and technical analysis. I had made a small investment in Aksh Optofibre @ 73.75, it is now quoting at 70.55 . When i bought this share i had a look at its fundamentals and its announcements at BSE and it looked good to me. But today i had a look at its chart on BSE and I kind of concluded :
1. It's forming a descending triangle.
2. The MACD has fallen below the the 0-base line which is not a good sign.
Now my questions
1. Have I read the chart correctly perticularly the trend lines.
2. Are my resonings/inferences correct
3. Should i hold on to aksh optifibre
4. Any updates on the fundamentals, are they still stong
Please do reply.
Thanks and regards
-Partha
Hi Partha,
Let me add my 2 bits before Saint gives his expert comments. I had entered into this one at 66. My comments are as follows -
1. Aksh fundamentals are good. The recent quarter results are per or better than expectations. On relative valuations basis, Aksh is not over valued.
2. With Sensex crossing 10K, money apparently is flowing into front line stocks. It seems investors are getting out of other stocks and entering the stocks that is attracting new foreign money. When that happens, small cap stocks like Aksh are badly hit. I guess this is one reason why Aksh may be gowing down.
3. Your inferences are right. It is forming a crude decending triangle. Other indicators are not looking good either. RSI is showing weakness in the stock. TRIX shows a down trend. MACD is negative and volumes going below their monthly avg. It has support in the 70-71 zone. I suggest you put a stop loss at 70 and wait and watch.
4. It is not looking good even on the weekly charts. Monthly charts show that the recent resistance of 69 is acting as support after that breakout. ADX shows the uptrend is not loosing strength. MACD is positive and at its peak.
5. A lot of "smart" money has been flowing into this stock for last few quarters. The monthly charts show a topping off of MFI. We may see money leaving the stock below the 70 level.
All in all, its a HOLD if you can wait for another quarter or two. Else you can book the loss (you said its a small investment) while its still small ! There are many other opportunities.
Hope that helped.
Mohan