Reachjesal, I implied something and may have created a little confusion. The 4840 level was trying to approximate when the TL was actually going to be hit, and it also fell in line with the approximate value of my WR1. Thus, I posted the daily chart today, because my blue TL's are always drawn from the daily, and it shows the strong move hit the TL exactly. To this point, the TL has contained, and it is assumed the reversal begins from the current level.
One of 2 things will happen with price action on Wednesday:
1. The above scenario holds true (duh).
2. The move continues north with a stronger than usual candle.
There is one concession that has to be made. Price action could continue north, but it will take a strong intraday reversal for containment. The TL contained as long as the candle closes on this side of the TL.
The reason things will be ugly if that TL does not contain is that too many what-if-then scenarios enter the picture.
From a trader's perspective, I think after the market starts this is an ideal place to enter for a low-risk short provided the preferred scenario plays out. You will will probably know hat around 8:16am your time. I don't think the market will be open a long time and it will show its hand.
Hi Paul,
4840 was breached decisively. the large body of a candle break on the upside also qualifies a trend change?
awaiting for your review.
thanks