@Timepass, "US Govt wants the economy to get a bit worse". This does not make any sense to me or anyone else who has been in the market for over a decade.
Thanks not correct ... What FED has said is they are waiting for the right time for QE3 ..... QE3 is the last resort.... in the sense they know bad times are yet to come ..... also let us not forget elections @ year end .....@ US
There's a saying "A wink is as good as a nod".
They are waiting for the conditions to get worse, they are waiting for unemployment to increase, they are waiting for natural disasters to strike etc.. before they make a hero's entry with their QE3. To me it doesn't make sense to wait till a patient enters the terminal stage before starting medication.
The economic upheaval that the world is going through is because the idea of an economically unipolar world (where currency is concerned) is yet to sink fully. There is no USD & Russian Ruble, there is no USD & Euro. There is only and only USD as an international currency. Now the world has reluctantly realized that the Euroquake isn't going away in a hurry and that it may take a decade or more for Europe to get out of the economic morass, if ever.
Even USA has yet to come to terms with this unipolar world, because a strong USD hurts their overseas income.
The economic policies the world over will need significant tweaking in the light of this new fact, and as ongoing process, there will be a stumbling recovery.
A few days ago, the economic advisor to the PM, Kaushik Basu, was blunt about it when he said that we have to get used to the dollar in 50s (of rupees) and the days of 46-47 rupee are gone.