NIFTY FUTURES LEVEL FOR TODAY'S TRADING
Resistances (might act as supports, after gap up):
4242 - The Pivotal point for today
4254 - Initial sign of weekness, if this breaks after gap up.
4262 - the lower level of the ranged trade of yesterday. May provide initial support today after gap up. Initial sign of bullish week attempt next week, if can close above this. Today is also the last trading day of the week & month.
4286-90 - The upper level of the ranged trade of yesterday. R1 for today. Intraday shorting possible here, with stop above 4302. (needs to be confirmed after opening)
4302 - Psychological resistance level
4320-25 - My R2 for today. The lower level of ranged trade of wednesday. Corresponding to RSR spot 4315.
After continous fall from 4400 to 4200 in this week, some bounce back from oversold region was expected. Also, this fight between 4300-4400 (which led to 4300 loosing) also warrants a re-test of the lower level of band. So, 4300 spot is on the cards.
Its reaction after touching the level is what will decide the course for next week. As mentioned above, atleast a close above 4262 should result in a bullish attempt next week (ie a close above 4350-4400)
Attempts should be made to buy in the region of 4190-4200 (by aggressive bulls), as intermediate uptrend with HH HL pattern is still on, until 4160 breaks/closes well below 4200. (By the way, the short term downtrend is still on, with stop now at SPOT 4400, and still early in the day, but if we consider 4200 as the elusive HL for the intermediate uptrend with prev being 4160, then also the 50% ret level of 4650-4200 is around 4400 - so, conservative bulls may wait for 4400 to be broken conclusively to enter long)
today, around noon, GDP numbers are expected.