Nifty Futures Trading

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columbus

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kabhi kabhi, when i see returns from STOCKs, i envy them...

NIFTY took 5 days for 18% return and some stocks like RELCAP/NTPC take only 1-2 days fro such return...

but kya karoon, stocks ne mujhe pehle bahut dokha diya hain, (sometimes, when mkt is in uptrend, my stock would be just in 1st gear or maybe in reverse gear... i m not a proper TA, so stock selection was usually wrong... also, news/events affect a particular stock anytime, irrespective of the general mkt trend)

that's why, from MARCH 08, i switched to nifty, studied its levels... and realised that NIFTY IS ACTUALLY THE KING / SHAHENSHAH of ALL...
if you think that a particular event is postive for market in general (for eg), then why to think & search which stock would benefir more... just go long on the KINNNG... if u r sure of the info & reaction, buy more lots of FUT or OPTIONS as per risk appetite....

only sometimes (rarely) i go for a stock when there's a news behind only that particular stock...
A 18% return on Nifty is equivalent to more than 50% return in RELCAP and 220% return on NTPC.A person who is a NIFTY trader generally hardly goes to stocks.Moreover the liquidity in Nifty Futures is so high it is difficult to switch over to stocks,barring Reliance probably.
 
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Sunil

Well-Known Member
NIFTY SPOT LEVELS FOR TODAY'S TRADING

SUPPORTS

4450 - The Pivotal level for today, above which bull's strength-show continues. Also, the previous HL, where an attempt can be made to go long, if global conditions are also favourable.

4430 - An important HL support, below which bears will get ready.

4400 - The psychological support / also S1 for today. Good level to go long with SL below 4385. If this also breaks, then bears will gain more strength

4375

4350 - The previous gap resistance should provide support today. S2 is 4330



RESISTANCES

4500 - even yesterday, SPOT was facing difficulty in crossing this milestone

4515 - THIS IS THE PEAK OF 20 JUNE, the day on which dbl-digit inflation was first announced, and SPOT fell like a stone after that. Also, multiple resistance level of day before - 19 june.
Crossing this level will be moral-boosting for bulls. This is R1 for today.
But, one may attempt short here with SL above 4535.. Daily/Hourly RSI, all indicating over-bought conditions.

4535 - crossing this would result in more covering of shorts.

4570 - The gap resistance band 4535-4580 the R2 for today. For me, full stop for today's bulls...



SPOT is over-bought, no doubt abt that. SPOT, though being in an uptrend, is nearing an important downward sloping line, drawn from peak of JAN 08. Take care with long positions, though personally I dont expect any big correction as of now. Below the gap support of 4350-15, 4240 is an important support.
So, atleast till this expiry, 4000 is history (unless very negative news come out). Those expecting some cooling/correction should buy near ATM PUTs like 4500 and 4400. Options are depreciating assets over time. 4300 PUT means you expect SPOT to close below 4300 (gap resistance-support) on expiry (6 days to go)
 
NIFTY SPOT LEVELS FOR TODAY'S TRADING

SUPPORTS

4450 - The Pivotal level for today, above which bull's strength-show continues. Also, the previous HL, where an attempt can be made to go long, if global conditions are also favourable.

4430 - An important HL support, below which bears will get ready.

4400 - The psychological support / also S1 for today. Good level to go long with SL below 4385. If this also breaks, then bears will gain more strength

4375

4350 - The previous gap resistance should provide support today. S2 is 4330



RESISTANCES

4500 - even yesterday, SPOT was facing difficulty in crossing this milestone

4515 - THIS IS THE PEAK OF 20 JUNE, the day on which dbl-digit inflation was first announced, and SPOT fell like a stone after that. Also, multiple resistance level of day before - 19 june.
Crossing this level will be moral-boosting for bulls. This is R1 for today.
But, one may attempt short here with SL above 4535.. Daily/Hourly RSI, all indicating over-bought conditions.

4535 - crossing this would result in more covering of shorts.

4570 - The gap resistance band 4535-4580 the R2 for today. For me, full stop for today's bulls...



SPOT is over-bought, no doubt abt that. SPOT, though being in an uptrend, is nearing an important downward sloping line, drawn from peak of JAN 08. Take care with long positions, though personally I dont expect any big correction as of now. Below the gap support of 4350-15, 4240 is an important support.
So, atleast till this expiry, 4000 is history (unless very negative news come out). Those expecting some cooling/correction should buy near ATM PUTs like 4500 and 4400. Options are depreciating assets over time. 4300 PUT means you expect SPOT to close below 4300 (gap resistance-support) on expiry (6 days to go)
thnx for providing this usefull information god bless u:)
 
U

uasish

Guest
Today in both the 5min & 30 min chart 4492.15 is the support,after initial 10-15 mins if it can survive that then in the chart 4531.25 may be achieved.
Personally not bias for any direction ,will see the Opening phase first.
 

Sunil

Well-Known Member
BEARS SAY:
today is inflation day. Profit-booking likely near EOD
next week is rbi policy day
Tech indicators point over-bought

BULLS say:
Economic reforms given priority now
FIIs buy in big yesterday after a long time
SPOT now even closed above its 50DMA yesterday - intermediate trend also up
Good results flow so far
No "LEFT"... only RIGHT things for economy

net-net, though some cooling is due, trend says to go long on dips (shorts at high risky) and dont carry home longs.
 
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