nifty futures intraday trend analysis and trading calls for 14-05-09
spot nifty has once again failed to close above the minimum 3717 mark which proved that the bears have a upper hand in the market as of today.
for tomorrow
upward view of nifty futures:-
since the start of this week, for straight 3 trading sessions, nifty futures has failed to close above 3700.
Bears have always pushed it below the 3700 region.
therefore, tomorrow 3700 will now act as a huge resistance for the bulls.
for tomorrows intraday session, nifty futures will remain bearish till it trades below the 3650 mark.
primary uptrend is possible only if nifty futures makes a strong ground above 3650.
therefore the trend decider for tomorrow is placed at 3650.
above 3650 resistance for nifty futures is placed at 3666 3681
trend reversal is expected at 3681.
primary uptrend above 3650 will become strong only if nifty futures sustains above 3681.
keep in mind the 3700 region; it is disliked by the bears hence nifty futures hasnt been able to close above this region of 3700.
above 3681 nifty futures can rally up to 3708 3735.
In case of an uptrend, 3735 3745 band will act as a major hurdle and only upon sustaining above 3735 3745 with buying volumes, can take nifty futures to new higher levels.
If nifty futures sustains above 3735 3745 region then it may rise further towards 3763 3790.
A close above 3745 is absolutely needed, or else the trend remains undecided.
downward view of nifty futures:-
since 3650 is the trend decider for tomorrow. Bulls should hold nifty future above 3650.
Failure to hold above 3650 will drag nifty futures to 3634 3613 3580 3545.
3605 region holds 1st significance. If nifty futures fails to hold above 3605 then further downtrend expected on cards.
tomorrows intraday bounce back level is placed at 3580[/u]
breach of 3580 will take nifty futures to the lower level of 3545.
3530 is a very crucial support.
since there is a triple top formation at 3700 region on the daily charts of nifty futures, the lower support area of 3530 may not hold.
therefore an immediate and urgent close above 3700 - 3745 is now the need of an hour for the bulls.
i wasnt there in the market since morning. Due to certain unavoidable circumstances i was busy.
this was my analysis:-
tomorrows intraday bounce back level is placed at 3580[/u]
breach of 3580 will take nifty futures to the lower level of 3545.
nifty futures made a low of 3550 in the morning.
I had mentioned that 3580 is the bounce back zone.
If you all saw today. Nifty futures did not breach the 3579 region from morning till now.
It bounced back from the mentioned bounce back zone of 3580.
If nifty fut bounces back from 3580 - 3579 then you should take a long at 3580 - 3579 and keep a stop loss below 3579.
Since below 3579 the next support region was mentioned at 3545.
Nifty futures had already made a low of 3550.
So buying at 3579 was the criteria. And exiting at 3634 was the good thing to do.
I had mentioned the trend decider at 3650. I had also mentioned that nifty fut is bearish below 3650 and it did not go above 3650, so selling at 3630 - 3634 and keeping a stop loss above 3650 - 3655 could be another good thing to do.
I hope you all are understanding what i am trying to say.