I have noticed that many newbie out here are confused on how to play his predictions. There seems to be too many levels and is hard to convert into a trading plan. Ill show you how I play his levels
Homework : before I start trading based on his levels, plot the levels on the charts. So you know where to short / go long and where to cover.
Trading plan : I plot a 10 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) to have a sense of the trend. The Time frame is 5 min to reduce noise. The target is to go short when price falls below resistance level with a target of the next level. Or to go long from a support level to the next higher level. The EMA line is the direction guide.
If it is flat, I dont take any position or If I have a position I try to exit it as soon as possible as price can go both ways.
I want to go short only when the line is moving down. And go long when the line is going up. Doing the opposite, i.e. holding on to a long when the price is falling is a recipe for big losses.
Never hope against hope. If a position is going bad, exit immediately. Dont let it go from bad to worse.
Lets look at todays (22.05.09) trade.
First an overview of what he predicted as support & resistance levels:
Trend decider : 4229
First support : 4204
Second support : 4167 (which can act as a bounce back level)
Third support : 4130
Fourth support : 4076 (this can act as a bounce back level)
First resistance : 4250
Second resistance : 4281
Third resistance : 4312
Overview of todays trade :
Global cues were bad. Nifty opened at 4193 below the trend decider ( 4229) and below the first support (4204) and gradually shot up to above 4229 levels. I avoided ride from 4204 to 4229 as the EMA was flat and the morning sentiments takes 20 min to die down.
From 10:15 to 11.00 : market was trading flat with a range of 4240 to 4220, so waited for the range to break on either direction. Finally broke down at 11:04 and shorted at 4218 with a immediate target of 4204 and a stop loss of 4229. My target of 4204 got hit at 11:14 and it bounced back.
From 11:14 to 11:30 : Nifty was threatening to break the 4204 mark and I waited and finally broke at 11:35. so I shorted at 4200 with a stop loss of 4229 and a target of 4167. At 12:10 my target got hit. And since it was predicted as a bounce back zone, I went long at 4170 with a target of 4204 and then 4250. 4250 got hit at 01:50
After that the ema trend line remained flat and directionless and hence no trade.
No. of Trades : 3
4218 to 4204 = 14 points
4200 to 4167 = 33 points
4170 to 4250 = 70 points