Nifty Futures Weekly And Intraday Analysis Trend Report

DO YOU THINK MY INTRADAY & WEEKLY PREDICTIONS FOR NIFTY FUTURES ARE ACCURATE?

  • ITS RELIABLE..... TECHNICAL SUPPORT / RESISTANCE DO EXIST....!

    Votes: 11 100.0%
  • NOT RELIABLE....ITS LIKE LOOKING FOR NIFTY LEVELS BY LOOKING AT A CRYSTAL BALL... !

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • SOMEHOW THE LEVELS SEEM TO WORK... BUT I AM NOT CONVINCED....!

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    11
  • Poll closed .
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linkon7

Well-Known Member
surprisingly, the FII fig is a positive 568 cr in the equity market. So was it a panic attack that caused the sell off. stocks with high expectations from the budget sold off the most. NIIT was down 17% today and most liquid counters saw blood. Greed bought us to 4700 and can fear take us to 3800 levels. The projected fiscial deficit is 6.8% and there is a fear of down grading by most rating agencies. Budget was not so bad that warranted a 350 points fall from the high of the day. I seriously cant figure out where the selling came from. Unless its a major change of sentiments and the subsequent end of the rally, markets shouldnt fall much from here. It appears like the golden opportunity to build a portfolio but so far people who are buying the dips are paying through their noses. Nifty falls another 200 points and we will see people talking about a resumption of the bear market. Market is fueled by sentiments and it looks a scary B grade horror movie now.
 
hi linkon
I believe that u r mistaken about FII figures fot today.
FII trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment.
Here is the correct data,see below,

The following is combined FII trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by FIIs on 06-Jul-2009.



FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
FII 06-Jul-2009 2137.3 3620.33 -1483.03



Domestic Institutional Investors trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment


The following is combined Domestic Institutional Investors trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by Banks, DFIs, Insurance and MFs on 06-Jul-2009.



DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
DII 06-Jul-2009 2663.35 1847.64 815.71


Above data is compiled from NSEINDIA website.
 

Nishikant

Well-Known Member
Hello linkon bro

surprisingly, the FII fig is a positive 568 cr in the equity market. So was it a panic attack that caused the sell off. stocks with high expectations from the budget sold off the most. NIIT was down 17% today and most liquid counters saw blood. Greed bought us to 4700 and can fear take us to 3800 levels. The projected fiscial deficit is 6.8% and there is a fear of down grading by most rating agencies. Budget was not so bad that warranted a 350 points fall from the high of the day. I seriously cant figure out where the selling came from. Unless its a major change of sentiments and the subsequent end of the rally, markets shouldnt fall much from here. It appears like the golden opportunity to build a portfolio but so far people who are buying the dips are paying through their noses. Nifty falls another 200 points and we will see people talking about a resumption of the bear market. Market is fueled by sentiments and it looks a scary B grade horror movie now.
HARI OM BABU MOSHAY :thumb:


LONG TIME NO SEE.


ASSUME THAT MARKET SLIPS ANOTHER 300 POINTS FROM HERE, THEN WHAT?????


SHORT COVERING WILL START RIGHT AWAY FROM 3870 - 3850 REGION.


BECAUSE ONE SINGLE CLOSE BELOW 3800 WOULD SEND JITTERS DOWN EVERYBODY'S SPINE.


IF NIFTY HITS 3800 THEN I WOULD BUY A FEW CONTRACTS OF NIFTY FUTURES AND KEEP A STOP BELOW 3740 ON A CLOSING BASIS.


BY THE WAY I WANTED TO ASK YOU ABOUT YOUR POSITIONAL TRADING SYSTEM. THE ONE WITH THE "JAPANESE" NAME?????


WHAT POSITIONAL CALL DOES IT SUGGEST?????


KINDLY LET ME KNOW.


TAKE GOOD CARE OF YOUR SELF :)


GOD BLESS YOU AND GOD BLESS EVERYONE :D



REGARDS,
NISHIKANT K. HADGE
 

linkon7

Well-Known Member
Re: Hello linkon bro

HARI OM BABU MOSHAY :thumb:

ASSUME THAT MARKET SLIPS ANOTHER 300 POINTS FROM HERE, THEN WHAT?????


SHORT COVERING WILL START RIGHT AWAY FROM 3870 - 3850 REGION.


BECAUSE ONE SINGLE CLOSE BELOW 3800 WOULD SEND JITTERS DOWN EVERYBODY'S SPINE.



If market falls another 300 points, then there will be panic. The recent fall is fresh in everyone's mind. Most portfolio was built around the 4200-4500 range, so already they are licking their wounds. When people wants to get out at any cost, then its when the money waiting on the sidelines will deploy the cash, not before that. That panic has to come for us to break out of the 4700 mark and head higher to the 6000 levels...



as per ichamuku, the sell off was triggered at 4420 level. 4158 to 4195 is the resistance band and above that, its a buy.
 
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Nishikant

Well-Known Member
Nifty Futures Intraday Trend Analysis & Trading Calls For 07-07-09




HARI OM


:thumb:


NIFTY FUTURES INTRADAY TREND ANALYSIS & TRADING CALLS FOR 07-07-09


NIFTY FUTURES HAS CLOSED AT 4154.


UPWARD VIEW OF NIFTY FUTURES



FOR TOMORROWS INTRADAY SESSION, 4177 WILL ACT AS THE 1st RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY FUTURES.


4177 WAS THE 3rd & THE LAST WEEKLY BOUNCE BACK ZONE THAT IS BROKEN & NIFTY FUTURES HAS CLOSED BELOW THAT, THEREFORE TO MAKE AN UP MOVE, NIFTY FUTURES WILL HAVE TO SUSTAIN ABOVE 4177.




ABOVE 4177 NIFTY FUTURES CAN RALLY UP TO 4190 4207.


TREND REVERSAL CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND 4207 AND NIFTY FUTURES WILL HAVE TO TRADE FIRMLY ABOVE 4207.


SUSTAINING ABOVE 4207 WILL TAKE NIFTY FUTURES TO 4259.


4259 IS THE MAXIMUM AND FRESH SHORT SELL COULD BE SEEN AT THIS ZONE OF 4259. FOR FURTHER UPTREND NIFTY FUTURES HAS TO MAKE FIRM GROUND ABOVE 4259.


AND ONLY ABOVE 4259 NIFTY FUTURES WILL RALLY HIGHER.


FOR TOMORROW A CLOSE ABOVE 4259 IS A MUST FOR THE BULL RUN TO RESUME. UNLESS AND UN TILL NIFTY FUTURES DOES NOT SUSTAIN OR CLOSE ABOVE 4259 FURTHER UP TREND IS IMPOSSIBLE.


NOTE: - AVOID SHORT ABOVE 4177



DOWNWARD VIEW OF NIFTY FUTURES



TODAY'S DAY LOW OF 4121 HOLDS SIGNIFICANCE.



IF NIFTY FUTURES BREAKS TODAY'S DAY LOW THEN WE CAN SEE NIFTY FUTURES SLIDING DOWN TO 4093.



4092 IS A BIG SUPPORT FOR THE SPOT NIFTY BECAUSE FROM THIS LOW OF 4092, SPOT NIFTY HAD RALLIED ONE SIDE UP TO 4693.




SO IF SPOT NIFTY CRACKS 4092 THEN NIFTY FUTURES CAN ALSO SLIDE DOWN TO 4065 4037 & 4009.



1st INTRADAY BOUNCE BACK ZONE IS PLACED AT 4009.




4009 4000 REGION IS A VERY CRUCIAL ZONE & IT SHOULD NOT BE BREACHED.



IF NIFTY FUTURES CRACKS 4009 4000 THEN IT MAY SLIP DOWN TO 3981 3953.



NIFTY FUTURES SHOULD HOLD ABOVE 3953 OR ELSE FURTHER FALL UP TO 3925 3898 NOT RULED OUT.



TRADING CALLS FOR 07 07 09


RIL BUY 1940 S/L 1930 TGT 1972 2005 2034 & SELL 1926 SL 1935 TGT 1875 1823 1786 1749


MIND TREE BUY 490 S/L 484 TGT 505 - 520 535 555 & SELL 478 S/L 489 TGT 464 450 433 - 415


JPASSOCIAT BUY 203 S/L 200 TGT 207 211 220 230 & SELL 192 S/L 202 TGT 184 178 173


REL CAP BUY 874 S/L 870 TGT 897 919 941 963 & SELL 867 S/L 873 TGT 847 807 797 763.


PUNJLLOYD BUY 208 S/L 204 TGT 216 225 233 & SELL 198 S/L 207 TGT 190 183 - 177


HAVE A NICE TRADING SESSION TOMORROW


GANPATI BAPPA MORYA :)


HARI OM :)

REGARDS,
NISHIKANT K. HADGE
 

Nishikant

Well-Known Member
NF Day Low 4148. Median 4140 Crucial




HARI OM DEAR FRIENDS​


:thumb:​



THE WAVE THAT I HAD MENTIONED YESTERDAY WAS:-



3838 4140 4275 - 4409 4678 4813 4947



FROM THE ABOVE WAVE STRUCTURE THE MEDIAN OF 4409 HAS BEEN BROKEN DECISIVELY.



THEREFORE A NEW WAVE HAS TO BE CONSIDERED:-



""""THE SAME WAVE WOULD BE IN THE SEQUENCE GIVEN BELOW""""



4409 4275 4140 4005 3838



IN THE ABOVE WAVE 4140 HAS BECOME THE MEDIAN.



THEREFORE 4140 HOLDS SIGNIFICANCE FOR FURTHER TREND.



"""EITHER A RALLY TOWARDS 4275 4409 CAN BE EXPECTED IF 4140 REMAINS INTACT"""""



""""OR A BREACH OF 4140 AND A RALLY TOWARDS 4005 3838 CAN BE VISIBLE""""



SO LETS HOPE THAT SPOT NIFTY SUSTAINS ABOVE 4140 OR ELSE BELOW 4140 BEARS ARE LIKELY TO MAKE A COMEBACK.




NOTE: - IN THE ABOVE CHART OF SPOT NIFTY ATTACHED ABOVE, THE SMA 50 IS PLACED AT 4156 & THE EMA 50 IS PLACED AT 4114



THEREFORE NIFTY SPOT SHOULD HOLD ABOVE THE SMA 50 THAT IS PLACED AT 4156 & IN CASE IT DIPS FURTHER THEN THE EMA 50 THAT IS PLACED AT 4114 SHOULD NOT BE BREACHED.



REGARDS,
NISHIKANT K. HADGE
HARI OM DEAR FRIENDS :thumb:



NIFTY FUTURES HAS MADE A DAY LOW OF 4148.



NIFTY FUTURES HAS TAKEN SUPPORT AT THE MEDIAN OF 4140.



THEREFORE 4140 SHOULD REMAIN INTACT FOR FURTHER UPTREND.


NOW IMMEDIATE RESISTANCE IS PEGGED AT 4259 & IMMEDIATE SUPPORT IS PEGGED AT 4177.


HAVE A NICE TRADING SESSION


GANPATI BAPPA MORYA :)


HARI OM


REGARDS,
NISHIKANT K. HADGE
 

linkon7

Well-Known Member
hi linkon
I believe that u r mistaken about FII figures fot today.
FII trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment.
Here is the correct data,see below,

The following is combined FII trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by FIIs on 06-Jul-2009.



FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
FII 06-Jul-2009 2137.3 3620.33 -1483.03



Domestic Institutional Investors trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment


The following is combined Domestic Institutional Investors trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by Banks, DFIs, Insurance and MFs on 06-Jul-2009.



DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
DII 06-Jul-2009 2663.35 1847.64 815.71


Above data is compiled from NSEINDIA website.
Thats the fno and equity segment combined. What i am reffering to is the cash segment only. you can check the www.sebi.gov.in for that figure.

In the FNO segment, the figure is misleading as they take positions on both direction to protect themselves. if the buy 100 put... it appears as a positive. If the sell 100 puts...its appears as a negative.

So its better to track what the net figure is in the cash segment only....
 
Dear linkon
The data on SEBI website provides for 2nd last trading session because of custodian confirmations .Whereas data on nse is for last treading session without custodian confirmation.

and yes the data given in my previous post is for NSE and BSE CASH only and not for NSE futures.

SEE below the data of SEBI
Daily Trends in FII Investments on 06-JUL-2009

Reporting Date Equity Gross Purchases(Rs Crores) Gross Sales(Rs Crores) Net Investment (Rs Crores)
06-JUL-2009 Equity 2149.60 1581.30 568.40


The data presented above is compiled on the basis of reports submitted to SEBI by custodians on 06-JUL-2009 and constitutes trades conducted by FIIs on and upto the previous trading day(s).

now above data is for trade day of 3rd july 2009.

For derivative data go to NSEINDIA wesite/column F&O/market today/



Thanks
 
Last edited:
Re: NF Day Low 4148. Median 4140 Crucial

hari om dear friends :thumb:



Nifty futures has made a day low of 4148.



nifty futures has taken support at the median of 4140.



therefore 4140 should remain intact for further uptrend.


Now immediate resistance is pegged at 4259 & immediate support is pegged at 4177.


Have a nice trading session


ganpati bappa morya :)


hari om


regards,


nishikant k. Hadge
hari om
great sir
your analysis is accurate today also
sir i think nifty doesn't able to cross the the 4259 on closing bias so will it will move towards 4140 as your new median metion previous post so i think still market is weak and will move downwords as per your wave analysis please give me some more information about this and correct if any thing is wrong
ganpati bappa morya
 

linkon7

Well-Known Member
Dear linkon
The data on SEBI website provides for 2nd last trading session because of custodian confirmations .Whereas data on nse is for last treading session without custodian confirmation.

and yes the data given in my previous post is for NSE and BSE CASH only and not for NSE futures.

SEE below the data of SEBI
Daily Trends in FII Investments on 06-JUL-2009

Reporting Date Equity Gross Purchases(Rs Crores) Gross Sales(Rs Crores) Net Investment (Rs Crores)
06-JUL-2009 Equity 2149.60 1581.30 568.40


The data presented above is compiled on the basis of reports submitted to SEBI by custodians on 06-JUL-2009 and constitutes trades conducted by FIIs on and upto the previous trading day(s).

now above data is for trade day of 3rd july 2009.

For derivative data go to NSEINDIA wesite/column F&O/market today/



Thanks
Trust me, i was having the same confusion. please verify the data with indiabulls...

http://www.indiabulls.com/securities/market/market_information/fii-mf-updates.aspx
 
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