Raj, just wanted to know how did u decide or on what assumptions u have written the above highlighted line...plz elaborate...
OK. It is my own logic. It need not be 100% Fool proof.
When Market was trading around 5930, I always take the 5 strikes for my calculation. So it would be ATM strike, 2 ITM strikes and 2 OTM strikes.
So it was 5700, 5800, 5900, 6000 and 6100.
For Each strike, I find what is the Trend, It could be either BULL, BEAR or FLAT.
I calculate the overall Trend using the Overall "CHG in OI:. Here the "Overall" means only my 5 strikes. So i don't consider what is happening below 5700 or above 6100.
The Trend came as "Bear". Then I count the number of "Bear". If it is more than 2 then I take it as a Strong Bear.
So today closing had
5700 - Bull
5800 - Bull
5900 - Bear
6000 - Bear
6100 - Bear
At the time I wrote as "Weak Bear", 5900 was indicating as "Bull" and you saw the market coming UP from 5908 to 5960...
That is when I asked to close the positions at 5945 and the market finally closed at 5927.
Today the CHG in OI at CE being added above 5900 (in 6000, 6100) was 19L.
Today the CHG in OI at PE being added Below 5900 (in 5700, 5800) was 16L.
The Overall CHG in OI at CE was 24L
The Overall CHG in OI at PE was 15L
MAX at the individual Strike level,
11.77L added at 6000CE
8.63L added at 5800PE
So base is being built at 5800PE, which would be anyway Tested.