In the Hourly chart the Trend is DOWN.
MAX OI changed from 6500-7000 to 6400-7000, which is also a Bearish signal.
Closed 6700CE on 05-May and Bought 6750 PE.
Closed 6500-7000 Pair and carrying 6400-7000 Pair (Instead of 6500 it is now 6400)
If 6690 is not broken on the up side then I am expecting 6500/6550. On the Down side 6640 needs to be broken to get to 6500. Even if 6640 is not broken, If 6690 is not broken on the UP side since the Trend is down I am expecting 6500. So will watch 6690/6700 and will take additional Puts accordingly. If 6690 is broken on the UP Side then close the Puts
So at 6690 there was a BREAKOUT and so closed the 6750 PE and bought 6750 CE.
Sold the Pair 6400-7000 @ 245, which is now trading at 364.
6750CE bought at 260 is now trading at 415. Net profit of 35 points.
The Resistance is at around 7040, where will switch to Long Puts instead of Long Calls.
Daily Futures - RESISTANCE @ 7040 and 7188
Weekly Futures - RESISTANCE @ 7035
Monthly Futures - RESITANCE @ 7006 and 7718. - SELL Triggered at 7006
So hopefully the correction will start around 7040. So far made high of 7017.5
Will close everything and will go for the following Trades
SELL 6400-7200 Pair around 270. Buy 7000 PE @ 280 - Net outflow will be 10.
Need to Keep a close watch on MAX OI anc COI.
MAX OI @ 6400-7000, which is in line with our Resistance at around 7040.
MAX COI @ 6400-7500 - The 7500 needs to come down to confirm the DOWN move...
The AVG Implied VOLT is at around 46%. And the INDIAVIX is at 39.
So I am hoping the VOLT will come down after the Election results. And THE SELLs might fetch profit rather than LONG Puts or Calls. So it is better to avoid OTM Puts or Calls. If somebody wants to Trade LONG Calls or Puts, Better trade only ITM or ATM. OR Wait for IV to come down. No point trying to trade OTM Puts or Calls now