NIFTY Options Trading by RAJ

How do you use OAT tool?

  • For Intraday Naked Options trading

    Votes: 58 37.7%
  • For Intraday Pair trading of Options

    Votes: 27 17.5%
  • For Intraday Futures trading

    Votes: 18 11.7%
  • For Positional Naked Options trading

    Votes: 35 22.7%
  • For Positional Pair trading of options

    Votes: 29 18.8%
  • For Positional Futures trading

    Votes: 11 7.1%
  • To trade in Cash market

    Votes: 13 8.4%
  • Overall trading has improved with OAT

    Votes: 27 17.5%
  • Understanding of Options has improved with OAT

    Votes: 57 37.0%

  • Total voters
    154
  • Poll closed .
Election Day trading

This is just a Technical view on how the Election trading should play out.

Based on MAX OI in May-14 : Range is 6400-7500. Looking at the MAX COI of 6400-7800, the Top seems to be 7250.

Based on MAX OI in Jun-14 : Range is 6800-7500. Looking at the MAX COI of 6700-8000, the Top seems to be 7350.


Hourly SPOT Charts : The Range looks like 6800-7300.

Daily Future Charts : Range is 6617 to 7277. Right now trading around the R1 @ 7133.


Weekly Future Charts : Range from 5838 to 7056. With Pivot at 6447. SELL Triggered above 7056

Monthly Future Charts : Pivot at 6133. R1 @ 7024 - SELL Triggered above 7024. R2 @ 7740.


Summing up everything above...

SELL Near 7275/7300 for Target of 7050 / 6800.

Options Trading - SELL the Pair 6800-7500 in Jun-14 Series or 6500-7500 in MAY-14 Series

Note : As I finished typing the MAX OI once again moved to 6400-7200 from 6400-7500. So to me it seems to be Good bet to Go Short around 7200-7250 SPOT for Target of 7000 and 6800.

Instead of Trading naked, When the NIFTY is around 7200/50,

SELL The PAIR 6500-7500 and Buy a PUT whose price is slightly above the combined premium of 6500-7500.

Those Who want to Try a Stock like SBIN.

The VOLT is almost double. So good for Shorting. SELL THE PAIR 2000-2400 or 2100-2400. The VOLT is around 65 today. Tomorrow it might come down to around 35/40. You can also Buy Puts when SBIN is near The Resistance 0f 2270/2300.

Whatever it might be the profit is in SELLING Options since the VOLT of the Stocks have shot up like anything

For example

SBIN - From 35 to 70
ICICIBANK - From 40 to 65
AXISBANK - From 35 to 65
Very nice analysis, I'm playing it this way
A timed ratio strangle
Bought 5 lots of 7200ce @70 on Thursday and took 6700pe @69 a couple of days back. Hoping for a 600 point rally
Writing , need to have balls of steel to withstand modi onslaught
 

kiran_thiru

Well-Known Member
Very nice analysis, I'm playing it this way
A timed ratio strangle
Bought 5 lots of 7200ce @70 on Thursday and took 6700pe @69 a couple of days back. Hoping for a 600 point rally
Writing , need to have balls of steel to withstand modi onslaught
now you are in very good profit sir. now 7200 ce is trading @ 212 and 6700 pe is trading @ 96. hope you will get minimum triple profit from here. all the best.
 

toughard

Well-Known Member
The underlying is always the Primary instrument which is the Stock and not the Futures.
I do not think the Futures Price has any role to do with the Options Price.

Futures Price with premium or discount will reflect on respective options...

when future is trading with premium, calls will be traded with that extra compared to puts and vice versa....
this is due to the fact that the underlying is not used to hedge by majority of option writers after considering shorting facility (you can not short SPOT underlying) ,funds (need full fund if you wana buy SPOT underlying) and Brokerage


when NIFTY spot is at exactly at multiples of 100 check the same...
 
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onlinegtrash

Well-Known Member
The underlying is always the Primary instrument which is the Stock and not the Futures.
I do not think the Futures Price has any role to do with the Options Price.

Futures Price with premium or discount will reflect on respective options...

when future is trading with premium, calls will be traded with that extra compared to puts and vice versa....
this is due to the fact that the underlying is not used to hedge by majority of option writers after considering shorting facility (you can not short SPOT underlying) ,funds (need full fund if you wana buy SPOT underlying) and Brokerage


when NIFTY spot is at exactly at multiples of 100 check the same...
also, buying a futures contract with a put is (roughly) equivalent to buying a call...
Market makers can exploit this relation linking up the prices of futures+calls and puts.

So everything is connected to everything else but to different extend.
 

toughard

Well-Known Member
also, buying a futures contract with a put is (roughly) equivalent to buying a call...
Market makers can exploit this relation linking up the prices of futures+calls and puts.

So everything is connected to everything else but to different extend.

onlinegtrash-
its nothing but parity in play....
Miss-pricing has always been for market makers...
 

healthraj

Well-Known Member
Election Day trading

This is just a Technical view on how the Election trading should play out.

Based on MAX OI in May-14 : Range is 6400-7500. Looking at the MAX COI of 6400-7800, the Top seems to be 7250.

Based on MAX OI in Jun-14 : Range is 6800-7500. Looking at the MAX COI of 6700-8000, the Top seems to be 7350.


Hourly SPOT Charts : The Range looks like 6800-7300.

Daily Future Charts : Range is 6617 to 7277. Right now trading around the R1 @ 7133.


Weekly Future Charts : Range from 5838 to 7056. With Pivot at 6447. SELL Triggered above 7056

Monthly Future Charts : Pivot at 6133. R1 @ 7024 - SELL Triggered above 7024. R2 @ 7740.


Summing up everything above...

SELL Near 7275/7300 for Target of 7050 / 6800.

Options Trading - SELL the Pair 6800-7500 in Jun-14 Series or 6500-7500 in MAY-14 Series

Note : As I finished typing the MAX OI once again moved to 6400-7200 from 6400-7500. So to me it seems to be Good bet to Go Short around 7200-7250 SPOT for Target of 7000 and 6800.

Instead of Trading naked, When the NIFTY is around 7200/50,

SELL The PAIR 6500-7500 and Buy a PUT whose price is slightly above the combined premium of 6500-7500.

Those Who want to Try a Stock like SBIN.

The VOLT is almost double. So good for Shorting. SELL THE PAIR 2000-2400 or 2100-2400. The VOLT is around 65 today. Tomorrow it might come down to around 35/40. You can also Buy Puts when SBIN is near The Resistance 0f 2270/2300.

Whatever it might be the profit is in SELLING Options since the VOLT of the Stocks have shot up like anything

For example

SBIN - From 35 to 70
ICICIBANK - From 40 to 65
AXISBANK - From 35 to 65
People might have seen the power of Volatility today. INDIAVIX down by 40% today. The largest drop in the last ~5 years

Even though the NIFTY moved 5 %, Since the VOLT moved down, if somebody had sold 6500-7500 Yesterday. Today they might be still be in profit. 6500PE lost 57 points and 7500CE gained only 16 points. So net profit is 40 points.

For SBIN If somebody sold 2100-2400, then since the VOLT came down from 70 to 40, the positions is still at a profit of 15 points. 2100PE has lost around 43 and 2400CE has gained only 28.

So two things very clear.

Better to buy ATM/ITM options.
When the VOLT is HIGH Sell the Pair.
 
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prabhsingh

Well-Known Member
LT has already delivered handsome gain since 10th Jan and where had advised accumulating more.

Sold 50% of my holding in this stock.
This was one of the stock where i had advised everybody to go Long because at 950 it was end of 2nd Wave and after that powerful Wave 3 take controls of everything.One of senior TJ member Dan has stated not to accumulate because it was falling like anything.With due respect to him,at that time LT was very close to 38.2 fib.Not sure how many of you have had taken position in this stock and earned hefty amount but this is one of the stock which has earned me a lot.
 
This was one of the stock where i had advised everybody to go Long because at 950 it was end of 2nd Wave and after that powerful Wave 3 take controls of everything.One of senior TJ member Dan has stated not to accumulate because it was falling like anything.With due respect to him,at that time LT was very close to 38.2 fib.Not sure how many of you have had taken position in this stock and earned hefty amount but this is one of the stock which has earned me a lot.
@Prabhsingh

You talk about this post: http://www.traderji.com/trading-diary/88670-nifty-options-trading-raj-409.html#post924184 (Next time kindly also post the link, so it is clear about which post you talk about.)

Now with due respect to you (after finding the post you talk about, as my first interpretation of your post was a bit different as you have seen because of not having this link), let me add some comments to this. There is no need of arguing with you, just let me add some points to your post. The view I post from comes from the experience I gathered during the crash of the dot com bubble. I was fully invested with my private capital at those time in stocks. In the company I was working for at those time, we also had share funds and hedge funds to manage. This just to give a little idea of the background.

Ok, here we go:

Now four months later you come to say that you recommended some thing. Well, averaging is not good and if you like to do so, then it is you who likes to do so. As you do not know the future of any chart, then it is pure anticipation that the chart may should go up once in the future (which not must be wrong, as by what ever we trade we have some kind of idea where market could go). Or you are an insider of the company or have the right connections to the right people and then you know what will happen with the stock in the coming future. But this most probably is not the case. So, if your trading system or your TA analyzes is/are build on anticipation and hopefully doing the right thing, that is your choice. And this is YOUR choice, but no way to tell others to do averaging. By the way: After such a long time I also can anticipate that covered calls, during at least Feb 2014 in this stock, was the 100% right thing to do at this time with huge profit.

Telling others to take over your system and trade with the same risk, which is build in this specific case on averaging losses, is not of much value, as each one has to know by him self what he trades and specially the risk he faces by adding to loss positions. As your stock has lost almost 30% percent in a very short time at those moment, and then was staying around that level for weeks, it was just hopping that it will recover what ever any wave says. (Here I could add a lot from the experience by staying in the market and acting live during the mentioned share crash, the recovery to a certain level and then the next fall and so on). Coming back to your share: After end of Mar 2014 the old high was reached again and here a new entry was shown. Not even one lot of averaging was needed to recover any thing. Averaging even again in this case was only rising the risk in the position and nothing else. Finally not even needed.

But that is not the final point. The point is: Losing 30% in one stock in our portfolio is not to recommend, the same as averaging is not to recommend for retail traders. Even in stocks a stop loss is a must. If there is a stop loss, the averaging game not even comes into play. The money safed through the stop loss can be invested in other stocks or in the index or be used for the margins for covered calls on other shares which are in a sideway mode.

If you are happy with averaging and make money with it some times, so it will be and that is good for you. Never mind about that. It even has to be respected and thats why I say: Arguing is not needed. On the other hand: Recommending averaging stocks, which are in loss, to normal retail traders is a risky game and should be out of questions. Here I stand to my word at any time. Stop loss is what has to be set on each share. Even 80 years ago some of the most successful stock traders already told to have a clear stop loss on any stock which is in your personal portfolio, even in any portfolio you/we.or who ever trade for other customers. If you are a biggy and have a volume of Mil of Rs in your stock portfolio, then you any way will have some other MM rules compare to the retail traders. Are you such a biggy?

You may are a good anticipate r some times by what you do, but if you are wrong, would you give back the money to the people who took you seriously here in this forum? Of course: NO. And you would stay in silent to not have any posts about your wrong anticipation. We all know that at the moment some are lucky/more right in what ever way in there anticipation, some of them start to post in the forum how good they are and how sure there anticipation is. But only then. Nevertheless:

I am happy for you that this time you made some money with this kind of increasing your risk, even there are better ways to ship around such possible/dangerous possible traps. Hopefully also your next investment will work in a positive manner. Take care and have a good start into the new week :)
 
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