NIFTY Options Trading by RAJ

[jamit_05]

Option Table is one sided bulls.

55 and 56 PE have CoI of around 10L each !! Highest. PEs are being sold bindass!

On the CE side, 57 CE was the only hope. Its CoI is on the verge of going negative, down from 4L. And all other CEs are squaring off. Big pockets do not want to sell CEs, instead want to get out of earlier sold positions!

And max OI in CE is all the way at 6000 ! Expressway!!

 

[Gandhar.]

56pe COI > 10lks

 

[healthraj]

Those who have close their long and wanting to Trade once again, Can follow the FIBO levels and Go Long above 5682 for Target of 5723.

Risky can buy at current Levels

The Target is almost met. The World markets are not looking that Great. So it would be better to close the LONGs by today.

 

[shivasrinivas2012]

I am not a good predictor. Have a lost a huge sum in predicting before. However you can take some risk and Buy the Sep-13 options of 5200 Put and 6100 CE now, because both are possible. Do not put more than 50% of your capital because market can also stay sideways in September. So put max 25% in 6200 CE and max 25% in 5200PE and wait till you make profit.

You can increase the probability by Following the FIIs. When the FIIs start buying then you can bet for 6200CE else 5200PE

Hi Raj sir , already i had 6000 ce ,today i had 30 % returns today. thanks sir. exited ce options as waiting for another chance , yes im putting only a part in options other trades in equities.thank you sir.

 

[arcus]

This is too simplistic an explanation. DII's also are privy to data that we have... and they do know that FII's come with deep pockets... so if FII's are continuously buying up, are DII's mandated to sell by the bourses to maintain balance? why would they want to be net sellers in a trending up market? But i agree that this has been the situation.. just wondering if DII's are mandated to play the reversal role

Everybody works with the same data. A retail trader who makes money consistently and someone who loses money consistently is looking at the same chart. So having the same data does not entail same results.

Nobody is mandated to do anything in the market. A buyer and a seller acts on their own free will. Both of them think they are right. If even one of them thinks the price is not right, then a trade does not take place.

So if the FII and DII counteract each other, its not because one is mandated to make money and the other is mandated to lose money. Its just how they are. Period.

Its the same way how some traders make money in any market conditions and others lose money even in the best of trends.

As Adam Smith once said - Its an Invisible hand that guides the Economy and the markets.

 

[healthraj]

12-Aug-13: FII & DII data

The "Net Sellers" or "Net Buyers" is based on the number of Contracts and not based on the net value

FII
Index futures - Net Sellers
Stock Futures - Net Buyers
Index Options - Long side
Stock Options -Short side
Open Interest Highest at - LONG Puts @ 9L

DII
Index futures - Net Sellers
Stock Futures - Net Buyers
Index Options - Not significant
Stock Options -Not significant
Open Interest Highest at - LONG CALLS @ 2L

Client - Open Interest Highest at - SHORT Puts @ 8.9L
Pro - Open Interest Highest at - SHORT Puts @ 4L

Conclusions :
Looking at the Index Futures Both the FII and DIIs have Sold.
FII are carrying the OI of 9L on LONG PUTs for a week now. So the downside in this market is not over.
Operators are trying to take the market UP by Selling PUTs.

13-Aug-13: FII & DII data

The "Net Sellers" or "Net Buyers" is based on the number of Contracts and not based on the net value

FII
Index futures - Net Sellers
Stock Futures - Net Buyers
Index Options - Long side
Stock Options -Short side
Open Interest Highest at - LONG Puts @ 8.6L

DII
Index futures - Net Sellers
Stock Futures - Net Buyers
Index Options - Not significant
Stock Options -Not significant
Open Interest Highest at - LONG CALLS @ 1.9L

Client - Open Interest Highest at - SHORT Puts @ 9.2L
Pro - Open Interest Highest at - SHORT Puts @ 3.7L

Conclusions :
Looking at the Index Futures Both the FII and DIIs have Sold - Same as Yesterday but the market went UP. But in Stock Futures they continue as Net Buyers
FII are carrying the OI of 8.5L (Reduced by 50K) on LONG PUTs for a week now.
"Pro"s are taking the market UP by Selling PUTs

End of Day, the August Series closed from STRONG BULL to WEAK BULL and the September Series closed from STRONG BULL to STRONG BEAR

 

[healthraj]

Hi Raj sir

thanks for niceness

i am getting problem compiling error...i dont know how to fix it

i am using office 2007

plz help me

thanks a lot

thiru123

Hope you are using the version 1.1. Please refer my other thread in the "Advanced Trading Strategies" section for the solution

http://www.traderji.com/advanced-tr...s-winning-20-trade-nifty-futures-bac-242.html

 

[Option.Trader]

Everybody works with the same data. A retail trader who makes money consistently and someone who loses money consistently is looking at the same chart. So having the same data does not entail same results.

Nobody is mandated to do anything in the market. A buyer and a seller acts on their own free will. Both of them think they are right. If even one of them thinks the price is not right, then a trade does not take place.

So if the FII and DII counteract each other, its not because one is mandated to make money and the other is mandated to lose money. Its just how they are. Period.

Its the same way how some traders make money in any market conditions and others lose money even in the best of trends.

As Adam Smith once said - Its an Invisible hand that guides the Economy and the markets.

Doesnt make sense that DII's who have the best brains in business would collectively decide to do the opp of what FII's want to do on a particular day. It is a fact that LIC is mandated to pitch in with buys in times of distress...

 

[healthraj]

Options Analysis for 14-aug-13

The Trend is showing as a STRONG BEAR. With the Top as 5714 and Bottom as 5682.

Need to observe 5700 for anything above 5714 or below 5682.

As per the Fibo Levels, Go short below 5699 fro 20 points profit.

 

[healthraj]

Options Analysis for 14-aug-13

The Trend is showing as a STRONG BEAR. With the Top as 5714 and Bottom as 5682.

Need to observe 5700 for anything above 5714 or below 5682.

As per the Fibo Levels, Go short below 5699 fro 20 points profit.

It has now turned into a Weak Bull so Play for 30 points above the Pivot of 5698 and 30 points below the pivot. If it turns into a Strong Bull then you continue the Long position