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What I see
- World recovery is on the right track . May be slow
- Indian economy is robust and growing at a nice pace
- Monsoon is good
Current news --
US stocks closed out their worst week in six with a whimper on Friday, slumping toward the close as economic data gave little reason to reverse a string of sell-offs.
The S&P 500 relinquished its hold on the 200-day moving average that had generated some positive momentum and was trading below its 50-day moving average on Friday.
The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 16.80 points, or 0.16%, to 10,303.15. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index dropped 4.36 points, or 0.40%, to 1,079.25. The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 16.79 points, or 0.77%, to 2,173.48.
This drop in growth in China, coupled with weaker retail sales, has been adding to the global market woes. Markets, both, local and global, are very dependent on data.
The macro situation globally is still clearly not robust. For the first half of this year, we were seeing a lot of the positive data coming and there was a hope that the stimulus has worked its way through. But right now the data consumer confidence, retail sales, home sales, they have all come out negative. But again the data points can be quite volatile month-on-month. So, we have to wait and see.
NO DENYING LONG-TERM STORY IS TOO GOOD FOR INDIA, BUT IN SHORT-TERM 5000-5500 IS A STRONG RESISTANCE ZONE.
Chart patterns concur that downtrend is due.