PUT and CALL options

I trade in OPTIONS only.

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SexyTrader

Well-Known Member
Re: OCT series DAY.12 NIFTY=5647 (-39)

I feel expiry should be around 5650

Now what will happend of 5700 ce if nifty would not be able to go above 5700?

Now its price is 30?
In this series, the NIFTY will touch 5800-5850 :thumb: And for that, it will have to go above 5700 and it will :)

Expiry could be anywhere, that does not matter.....we catch the highs and take out the cream before everyone comes to take it :p :D
 
Re: OCT series DAY.12 NIFTY=5647 (-39)

In last 12 days (7-UP & 5-DOWN) NIFTY closed like this:
UUUUDDUDUDUD


Now the Expiry Zone is in the range (5600~5700).
Huge accumulation was seen at 5800CE.
Accumulation or Writing? I think people have written 5800CE with OI rising and price falling. It would have been accumulation if there was a corresponding increase in price. With OI reaching a Crore, it looks highly unlikely of crossing.
But if a miracle happens, short unwinding will take it much beyond
 

SexyTrader

Well-Known Member
Re: OCT series DAY.12 NIFTY=5647 (-39)

Accumulation or Writing? I think people have written 5800CE with OI rising and price falling. It would have been accumulation if there was a corresponding increase in price. With OI reaching a Crore, it looks highly unlikely of crossing.
But if a miracle happens, short unwinding will take it much beyond
Looks like the miracle may happen :thumb: coz short unwinding & increasing OI in 5800 CE will work together today and in the days ahead :)

The weakness has already been factored into the current prices, so it cannot get any worse :)
 

columbus

Well-Known Member
Accumulation or Writing? I think people have written 5800CE with OI rising and price falling. It would have been accumulation if there was a corresponding increase in price. With OI reaching a Crore, it looks highly unlikely of crossing.
But if a miracle happens, short unwinding will take it much beyond
This is quite similar to PCR.
 

columbus

Well-Known Member
OCT series DAY.13 NIFTY=5660 (13)

In last 13 days (8-UP & 5-DOWN) NIFTY closed like this:
UUUUDDUDUDUDU


Now the Expiry Zone is same as yesterday i.e.in the range (5600~5700).




OPEN INTEREST-Interpretation

Open interest is usually used as an indication of the strength of a price
movement, but on its own it does not provide any indication of the direction
of the price movement.

Increasing open interest shows that there is strength behind the current price
movement, and decreasing open interest shows that there is a weakening of
the current price movement. For example, increasing open interest along with
increasing prices indicates that the upward price movement could continue,
but decreasing open interest along with increasing prices indicates that the
upward price movement may be about to reverse.

Open interest is also used to determine if a market is likely to be trending or
range bound (i.e. choppy). Increasing open interest shows that the rate of
new trades is increasing, which indicates that the market is being actively
traded. While decreasing open interest shows that the rate of news trades
is decreasing, which indicates that the market may be entering a time of
less active trading. (Courtesy:daytrading.about.com)


OMG,5400 strike is missing in today's data.
 
Last edited:

columbus

Well-Known Member
OCT series DAY.14 NIFTY=5718 (58)

In last 14 days (9-UP & 5-DOWN) NIFTY closed like this:
UUUUDDUDUDUDUU


Expiry zone is now shifted UP ,(5700~5800).
A lot of accumulation seen in PUT option and Writing in CALL option indicate
,a fall in Market in future.(Personal interpretation)





OPEN INTEREST-Interpretation

Open interest is usually used as an indication of the strength of a price
movement, but on its own it does not provide any indication of the direction
of the price movement.

Increasing open interest shows that there is strength behind the current price
movement, and decreasing open interest shows that there is a weakening of
the current price movement. For example, increasing open interest along with
increasing prices indicates that the upward price movement could continue,
but decreasing open interest along with increasing prices indicates that the
upward price movement may be about to reverse.

Open interest is also used to determine if a market is likely to be trending or
range bound (i.e. choppy). Increasing open interest shows that the rate of
new trades is increasing, which indicates that the market is being actively
traded. While decreasing open interest shows that the rate of news trades
is decreasing, which indicates that the market may be entering a time of
less active trading. (Courtesy:daytrading.about.com)
 

columbus

Well-Known Member
OCT series DAY.15 NIFTY=5684 (-34)

In last 14 days (9-UP & 6-DOWN) NIFTY closed like this:
UUUUDDUDUDUDUUD


We have entered EXPIRY week ,with EXPIRY zone at 5700.
Since now onwards market movements are based on NEWS / RESULTS, better
to be light on Positions with no carry forward basis.





PCR:

It is the ratio of the volume of put options traded to the volume of call options
traded.Some believe that a high PCR means more number of Puts have been
written and markets should go ahead.Others believe in entire opposite view.
 
5700 is ruled out completely for October.

5500 will be broken this week at least once.

Expiry week will be rangebound between 5500 - 5600 till expiry.

Expiry will be sub-dued that is near 5500.
Expiry update

NIFTY is expected to enter 5500 strike at least once in OCTOBER 2012.

Expiry view remains same ie; SUBDUES near lower levels.
 

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