Hi Anid,
Nice to see you putting lot of time and hardwork in replying to all queries posted on your thread. Good Job, keep it going.
Please post your views on IT sector for long term, specially Infosys and TechM (i have a position in these two scrips).
Thanks in advance,
Jude
The IT sector in India is Victim of wrong viewpoint on rising rupees against Dollar. Most of the seasoned broker are already accumulating the branded stocks in great discounted rates.
After spending 3 long years in IT companies as a professional I have a far better insight, than what I could have if I might have been a normal analyst.
The issue of rising rupee is an issue, but only for small companies who don’t have clients from diversified global position.
But when you think about CMM Level 5 standard IT companies, Like WIPRO, SATYAM, INFOSIS,HCL,PATNI , you think about their order book, current sales, operating profit, you will simply laugh when someone speculate about their prospect.
An IT engineer like me, would have earning an minimum AVG of 90k US Doller to 110 USD per year in US or UK or AUS (That is avg of 35 lakh to 43 lakh INR per year). I have my friends who left India and working there in such salary.
Whenever I traveled Outside India on project, I have seen IT pros earning in similar way.
But when you compare a Software engineer in India with similar experience he earns only 6-8 lakh per annum.
Just calculate the operating profit of Indian MNCs now.
So think –even if dollar rises, will this reduces the offshoring opportunity. No. A big Nooooooooooo.
An average software engineering student gets at least 2-3 offer letter from big companies in final year , before he completes his study.
A much greater threat the IT Company posses is resource attrition, that is an experience resource leaving old company and joining other for better package.
Situation will be completely different after 1 year. You will see the IT stocks are again sky rocketed.
Further, there are certain companies in India which have business well spread in EU region, so more immune to the rising rupee syndrome.
Let us see the top to bottom order Companies Indian IT sector much Dependant on USD.
1. Satyam
2. Patni
3. Infosys
4. Wipro
5. HCL Tech
Tech Mahindra is totally bases on UK based client. So it is only down from its high because of wrong sentiment about the sector. Just see the quarterly result and see the upsurge again.
If I have money to invest, my pick will be Wipro, Satyam and Infosys. If I Have position in other share, running in loss, my call is hold.
One thing keep in Mind that Share market goes by fundamentals. Short time public sentiments may give wrong price projection for a sector, but with time its fundamental which wins. Clever investor uses such opportunity to invest and earn heavy profit.